Shannon Semiconductor Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

300475 Stock   26.75  0.45  1.65%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Shannon Semiconductor Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 26.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.47. Shannon Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Shannon Semiconductor stock prices and determine the direction of Shannon Semiconductor Technology's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Shannon Semiconductor's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Shannon Semiconductor's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 1.5 B, whereas Other Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 32.9 M.
A two period moving average forecast for Shannon Semiconductor is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Shannon Semiconductor Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Shannon Semiconductor Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 26.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89, mean absolute percentage error of 1.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.47.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shannon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shannon Semiconductor's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Shannon Semiconductor Stock Forecast Pattern

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Shannon Semiconductor Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Shannon Semiconductor's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shannon Semiconductor's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.80 and 30.70, respectively. We have considered Shannon Semiconductor's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
26.75
26.75
Expected Value
30.70
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shannon Semiconductor stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shannon Semiconductor stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.5853
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1152
MADMean absolute deviation0.8912
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0285
SAESum of the absolute errors53.47
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Shannon Semiconductor Technology price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Shannon Semiconductor. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Shannon Semiconductor

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shannon Semiconductor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.9826.9630.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.7524.7328.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
27.7129.3931.07
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shannon Semiconductor. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shannon Semiconductor's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shannon Semiconductor's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shannon Semiconductor.

Other Forecasting Options for Shannon Semiconductor

For every potential investor in Shannon, whether a beginner or expert, Shannon Semiconductor's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shannon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shannon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shannon Semiconductor's price trends.

Shannon Semiconductor Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shannon Semiconductor stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shannon Semiconductor could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shannon Semiconductor by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Shannon Semiconductor Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Shannon Semiconductor's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Shannon Semiconductor's current price.

Shannon Semiconductor Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shannon Semiconductor stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shannon Semiconductor shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shannon Semiconductor stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Shannon Semiconductor Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Shannon Semiconductor Risk Indicators

The analysis of Shannon Semiconductor's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shannon Semiconductor's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shannon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Shannon Stock

Shannon Semiconductor financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shannon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shannon with respect to the benefits of owning Shannon Semiconductor security.