Ecopro BM Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

247540 Stock  KRW 111,400  3,900  3.63%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ecopro BM Co on the next trading day is expected to be 111,316 with a mean absolute deviation of 3,637 and the sum of the absolute errors of 221,866. Ecopro Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ecopro BM stock prices and determine the direction of Ecopro BM Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ecopro BM's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Ecopro BM simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Ecopro BM Co are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Ecopro BM prices get older.

Ecopro BM Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ecopro BM Co on the next trading day is expected to be 111,316 with a mean absolute deviation of 3,637, mean absolute percentage error of 25,508,312, and the sum of the absolute errors of 221,866.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ecopro Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ecopro BM's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ecopro BM Stock Forecast Pattern

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Ecopro BM Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ecopro BM's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ecopro BM's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 111,312 and 111,321, respectively. We have considered Ecopro BM's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
111,400
111,312
Downside
111,316
Expected Value
111,321
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ecopro BM stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ecopro BM stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria135.165
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 53.7065
MADMean absolute deviation3637.1404
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0297
SAESum of the absolute errors221865.5645
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Ecopro BM Co forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Ecopro BM observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Ecopro BM

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ecopro BM. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
111,396111,400111,404
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
98,50798,511122,540
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
105,201113,736122,270
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ecopro BM. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ecopro BM's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ecopro BM's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ecopro BM.

Other Forecasting Options for Ecopro BM

For every potential investor in Ecopro, whether a beginner or expert, Ecopro BM's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ecopro Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ecopro. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ecopro BM's price trends.

Ecopro BM Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ecopro BM stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ecopro BM could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ecopro BM by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ecopro BM Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ecopro BM's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ecopro BM's current price.

Ecopro BM Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ecopro BM stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ecopro BM shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ecopro BM stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ecopro BM Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ecopro BM Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ecopro BM's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ecopro BM's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ecopro stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Other Information on Investing in Ecopro Stock

Ecopro BM financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ecopro Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ecopro with respect to the benefits of owning Ecopro BM security.