SciVision Biotech Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| 1786 Stock | TWD 92.90 2.60 2.88% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of SciVision Biotech on the next trading day is expected to be 95.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.63 and the sum of the absolute errors of 160.35. SciVision Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
SciVision |
SciVision Biotech Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of SciVision Biotech on the next trading day is expected to be 95.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.63, mean absolute percentage error of 11.52, and the sum of the absolute errors of 160.35.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SciVision Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SciVision Biotech's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SciVision Biotech Stock Forecast Pattern
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SciVision Biotech Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SciVision Biotech's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SciVision Biotech's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 93.02 and 97.74, respectively. We have considered SciVision Biotech's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SciVision Biotech stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SciVision Biotech stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.5543 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.6287 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0249 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 160.349 |
Predictive Modules for SciVision Biotech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SciVision Biotech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for SciVision Biotech
For every potential investor in SciVision, whether a beginner or expert, SciVision Biotech's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SciVision Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SciVision. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SciVision Biotech's price trends.SciVision Biotech Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SciVision Biotech stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SciVision Biotech could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SciVision Biotech by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SciVision Biotech Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SciVision Biotech's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SciVision Biotech's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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SciVision Biotech Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SciVision Biotech stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SciVision Biotech shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SciVision Biotech stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SciVision Biotech entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
SciVision Biotech Risk Indicators
The analysis of SciVision Biotech's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SciVision Biotech's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting scivision stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.32 | |||
| Variance | 5.4 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for SciVision Stock Analysis
When running SciVision Biotech's price analysis, check to measure SciVision Biotech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SciVision Biotech is operating at the current time. Most of SciVision Biotech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SciVision Biotech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SciVision Biotech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SciVision Biotech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.