Seojin System Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

178320 Stock  KRW 22,550  100.00  0.45%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Seojin System CoLtd on the next trading day is expected to be 22,350 with a mean absolute deviation of 502.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29,650. Seojin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Seojin System stock prices and determine the direction of Seojin System CoLtd's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Seojin System's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Seojin System works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Seojin System Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 20th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Seojin System CoLtd on the next trading day is expected to be 22,350 with a mean absolute deviation of 502.54, mean absolute percentage error of 479,958, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29,650.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Seojin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Seojin System's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Seojin System Stock Forecast Pattern

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Seojin System Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Seojin System's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Seojin System's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22,347 and 22,353, respectively. We have considered Seojin System's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
22,550
22,347
Downside
22,350
Expected Value
22,353
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Seojin System stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Seojin System stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -73.7288
MADMean absolute deviation502.5424
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0206
SAESum of the absolute errors29650.0
When Seojin System CoLtd prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Seojin System CoLtd trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Seojin System observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Seojin System

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seojin System CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22,54722,55022,553
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20,16820,17024,805
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
20,33622,70325,069
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Seojin System. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Seojin System's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Seojin System's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Seojin System CoLtd.

Other Forecasting Options for Seojin System

For every potential investor in Seojin, whether a beginner or expert, Seojin System's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Seojin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Seojin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Seojin System's price trends.

Seojin System Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Seojin System stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Seojin System could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Seojin System by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Seojin System CoLtd Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Seojin System's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Seojin System's current price.

Seojin System Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Seojin System stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Seojin System shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Seojin System stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Seojin System CoLtd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Seojin System Risk Indicators

The analysis of Seojin System's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Seojin System's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting seojin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Other Information on Investing in Seojin Stock

Seojin System financial ratios help investors to determine whether Seojin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Seojin with respect to the benefits of owning Seojin System security.