Nordea Bank Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

0N4T Stock   125.43  1.37  1.08%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nordea Bank Abp on the next trading day is expected to be 130.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 82.68. Nordea Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Nordea Bank's Earning Assets are comparatively stable compared to the past year. Other Current Liabilities is likely to gain to about 14.2 B in 2025, whereas Total Assets are likely to drop slightly above 449.7 B in 2025.
A naive forecasting model for Nordea Bank is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Nordea Bank Abp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Nordea Bank Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nordea Bank Abp on the next trading day is expected to be 130.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.36, mean absolute percentage error of 2.59, and the sum of the absolute errors of 82.68.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nordea Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nordea Bank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nordea Bank Stock Forecast Pattern

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Nordea Bank Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nordea Bank's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nordea Bank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 129.41 and 132.04, respectively. We have considered Nordea Bank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
125.43
129.41
Downside
130.72
Expected Value
132.04
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nordea Bank stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nordea Bank stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.0631
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.3555
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.011
SAESum of the absolute errors82.6838
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Nordea Bank Abp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Nordea Bank. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Nordea Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nordea Bank Abp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
125.49126.80128.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
114.12135.07136.38
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Nordea Bank

For every potential investor in Nordea, whether a beginner or expert, Nordea Bank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nordea Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nordea. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nordea Bank's price trends.

Nordea Bank Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nordea Bank stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nordea Bank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nordea Bank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nordea Bank Abp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nordea Bank's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nordea Bank's current price.

Nordea Bank Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nordea Bank stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nordea Bank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nordea Bank stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nordea Bank Abp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nordea Bank Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nordea Bank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nordea Bank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nordea stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Nordea Stock Analysis

When running Nordea Bank's price analysis, check to measure Nordea Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nordea Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Nordea Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nordea Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nordea Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nordea Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.