Automatic Data Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

0HJI Stock   299.76  2.70  0.89%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Automatic Data Processing on the next trading day is expected to be 299.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 137.72. Automatic Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Automatic Data's Net Debt is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Accounts Payable is likely to gain to about 107.8 M in 2024, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is likely to drop slightly above 2.5 B in 2024.
A two period moving average forecast for Automatic Data is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Automatic Data Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Automatic Data Processing on the next trading day is expected to be 299.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.33, mean absolute percentage error of 11.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 137.72.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Automatic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Automatic Data's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Automatic Data Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Automatic DataAutomatic Data Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Automatic Data Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Automatic Data's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Automatic Data's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 298.75 and 300.77, respectively. We have considered Automatic Data's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
299.76
298.75
Downside
299.76
Expected Value
300.77
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Automatic Data stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Automatic Data stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.8443
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.6204
MADMean absolute deviation2.3342
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0079
SAESum of the absolute errors137.715
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Automatic Data Processing price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Automatic Data. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Automatic Data

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Automatic Data Processing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
299.09300.10301.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
257.09258.10330.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
298.08303.83309.58
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Automatic Data

For every potential investor in Automatic, whether a beginner or expert, Automatic Data's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Automatic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Automatic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Automatic Data's price trends.

Automatic Data Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Automatic Data stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Automatic Data could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Automatic Data by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Automatic Data Processing Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Automatic Data's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Automatic Data's current price.

Automatic Data Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Automatic Data stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Automatic Data shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Automatic Data stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Automatic Data Processing entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Automatic Data Risk Indicators

The analysis of Automatic Data's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Automatic Data's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting automatic stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Automatic Stock Analysis

When running Automatic Data's price analysis, check to measure Automatic Data's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Automatic Data is operating at the current time. Most of Automatic Data's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Automatic Data's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Automatic Data's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Automatic Data to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.