Seegene Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

096530 Stock  KRW 23,750  150.00  0.63%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Seegene on the next trading day is expected to be 23,706 with a mean absolute deviation of 386.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22,822. Seegene Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Seegene stock prices and determine the direction of Seegene's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Seegene's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Seegene works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Seegene Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Seegene on the next trading day is expected to be 23,706 with a mean absolute deviation of 386.81, mean absolute percentage error of 252,837, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22,822.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Seegene Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Seegene's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Seegene Stock Forecast Pattern

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Seegene Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Seegene's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Seegene's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23,704 and 23,708, respectively. We have considered Seegene's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
23,750
23,704
Downside
23,706
Expected Value
23,708
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Seegene stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Seegene stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -19.2438
MADMean absolute deviation386.81
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0162
SAESum of the absolute errors22821.7879
When Seegene prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Seegene trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Seegene observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Seegene

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seegene. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23,89823,90023,902
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20,16720,16926,290
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
21,67423,96626,259
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Seegene. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Seegene's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Seegene's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Seegene.

Other Forecasting Options for Seegene

For every potential investor in Seegene, whether a beginner or expert, Seegene's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Seegene Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Seegene. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Seegene's price trends.

Seegene Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Seegene stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Seegene could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Seegene by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Seegene Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Seegene's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Seegene's current price.

Seegene Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Seegene stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Seegene shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Seegene stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Seegene entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Seegene Risk Indicators

The analysis of Seegene's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Seegene's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting seegene stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Other Information on Investing in Seegene Stock

Seegene financial ratios help investors to determine whether Seegene Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Seegene with respect to the benefits of owning Seegene security.