Paradise Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

034230 Stock  KRW 11,300  560.00  5.21%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Paradise Co on the next trading day is expected to be 11,300 with a mean absolute deviation of 128.91 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7,735. Paradise Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Paradise stock prices and determine the direction of Paradise Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Paradise's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Paradise is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Paradise Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Paradise Co on the next trading day is expected to be 11,300 with a mean absolute deviation of 128.91, mean absolute percentage error of 31,977, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7,735.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Paradise Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Paradise's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Paradise Stock Forecast Pattern

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Paradise Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Paradise's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Paradise's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11,298 and 11,302, respectively. We have considered Paradise's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11,300
11,298
Downside
11,300
Expected Value
11,302
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Paradise stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Paradise stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria126.6454
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -37.3787
MADMean absolute deviation128.91
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0127
SAESum of the absolute errors7734.6
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Paradise Co price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Paradise. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Paradise

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Paradise. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11,29811,30011,302
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10,80210,80312,430
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
9,45110,26011,069
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Paradise. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Paradise's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Paradise's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Paradise.

Other Forecasting Options for Paradise

For every potential investor in Paradise, whether a beginner or expert, Paradise's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Paradise Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Paradise. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Paradise's price trends.

Paradise Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Paradise stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Paradise could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Paradise by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Paradise Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Paradise's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Paradise's current price.

Paradise Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Paradise stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Paradise shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Paradise stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Paradise Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Paradise Risk Indicators

The analysis of Paradise's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Paradise's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting paradise stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Other Information on Investing in Paradise Stock

Paradise financial ratios help investors to determine whether Paradise Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Paradise with respect to the benefits of owning Paradise security.