Dongil Technology Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

032960 Stock  KRW 10,500  80.00  0.77%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dongil Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 10,488 with a mean absolute deviation of 93.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5,511. Dongil Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Dongil Technology stock prices and determine the direction of Dongil Technology's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Dongil Technology's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Dongil Technology - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Dongil Technology prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Dongil Technology price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Dongil Technology.

Dongil Technology Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dongil Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 10,488 with a mean absolute deviation of 93.41, mean absolute percentage error of 16,775, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5,511.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dongil Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dongil Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dongil Technology Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Dongil TechnologyDongil Technology Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Dongil Technology Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dongil Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dongil Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10,487 and 10,489, respectively. We have considered Dongil Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10,500
10,487
Downside
10,488
Expected Value
10,489
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dongil Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dongil Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -14.4905
MADMean absolute deviation93.4069
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0085
SAESum of the absolute errors5511.0045
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Dongil Technology observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Dongil Technology observations.

Predictive Modules for Dongil Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dongil Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10,49910,50010,501
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9,3499,35011,550
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10,49510,58310,672
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dongil Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dongil Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dongil Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dongil Technology.

Other Forecasting Options for Dongil Technology

For every potential investor in Dongil, whether a beginner or expert, Dongil Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dongil Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dongil. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dongil Technology's price trends.

Dongil Technology Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dongil Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dongil Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dongil Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dongil Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Dongil Technology's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Dongil Technology's current price.

Dongil Technology Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dongil Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dongil Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dongil Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dongil Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dongil Technology Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dongil Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dongil Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dongil stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Dongil Technology

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Dongil Technology position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Dongil Technology will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Dongil Stock

  0.94123040 MS Autotech CoLtdPairCorr
  0.91012860 Mobase Electronics CoLtdPairCorr
  0.9012700 LEADCORPPairCorr
  0.72024910 Kyung Chang IndustrialPairCorr
  0.9027710 FarmStoryPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Dongil Technology could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Dongil Technology when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Dongil Technology - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Dongil Technology to buy it.
The correlation of Dongil Technology is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Dongil Technology moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Dongil Technology moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Dongil Technology can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Dongil Stock

Dongil Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dongil Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dongil with respect to the benefits of owning Dongil Technology security.