Shinsegae Food Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

031440 Stock   30,950  550.00  1.75%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Shinsegae Food on the next trading day is expected to be 32,223 with a mean absolute deviation of 679.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41,460. Shinsegae Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Shinsegae Food stock prices and determine the direction of Shinsegae Food's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Shinsegae Food's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Shinsegae Food price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Shinsegae Food Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 4th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Shinsegae Food on the next trading day is expected to be 32,223 with a mean absolute deviation of 679.67, mean absolute percentage error of 607,358, and the sum of the absolute errors of 41,460.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shinsegae Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shinsegae Food's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Shinsegae Food Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Shinsegae FoodShinsegae Food Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Shinsegae Food Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Shinsegae Food's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shinsegae Food's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32,222 and 32,225, respectively. We have considered Shinsegae Food's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
30,950
32,222
Downside
32,223
Expected Value
32,225
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shinsegae Food stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shinsegae Food stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria131.4274
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation679.6692
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0199
SAESum of the absolute errors41459.8202
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Shinsegae Food historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Shinsegae Food

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shinsegae Food. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30,94930,95030,951
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28,78228,78334,045
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
31,71533,02634,337
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shinsegae Food. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shinsegae Food's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shinsegae Food's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shinsegae Food.

Other Forecasting Options for Shinsegae Food

For every potential investor in Shinsegae, whether a beginner or expert, Shinsegae Food's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shinsegae Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shinsegae. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shinsegae Food's price trends.

Shinsegae Food Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shinsegae Food stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shinsegae Food could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shinsegae Food by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Shinsegae Food Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Shinsegae Food's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Shinsegae Food's current price.

Shinsegae Food Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shinsegae Food stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shinsegae Food shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shinsegae Food stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Shinsegae Food entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Shinsegae Food Risk Indicators

The analysis of Shinsegae Food's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shinsegae Food's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shinsegae stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Shinsegae Food

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Shinsegae Food position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Shinsegae Food will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Shinsegae Stock

  0.72005930 Samsung ElectronicsPairCorr
  0.69005935 Samsung ElectronicsPairCorr
  0.72005380 Hyundai MotorPairCorr

Moving against Shinsegae Stock

  0.57105560 KB Financial GroupPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Shinsegae Food could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Shinsegae Food when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Shinsegae Food - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Shinsegae Food to buy it.
The correlation of Shinsegae Food is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Shinsegae Food moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Shinsegae Food moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Shinsegae Food can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Shinsegae Stock

Shinsegae Food financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shinsegae Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shinsegae with respect to the benefits of owning Shinsegae Food security.