Jinzai Food Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

003000 Stock   13.40  0.12  0.90%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Jinzai Food Group on the next trading day is expected to be 13.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.28. Jinzai Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Jinzai Food stock prices and determine the direction of Jinzai Food Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Jinzai Food's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Jinzai Food Group is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Jinzai Food 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Jinzai Food Group on the next trading day is expected to be 13.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34, mean absolute percentage error of 0.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.28.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jinzai Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jinzai Food's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jinzai Food Stock Forecast Pattern

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Jinzai Food Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jinzai Food's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jinzai Food's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.77 and 16.13, respectively. We have considered Jinzai Food's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.40
13.45
Expected Value
16.13
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jinzai Food stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jinzai Food stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.0707
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0059
MADMean absolute deviation0.3383
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0257
SAESum of the absolute errors19.285
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Jinzai Food. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Jinzai Food Group and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Jinzai Food

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jinzai Food Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.7213.4016.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1112.7915.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.0213.6114.21
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Jinzai Food

For every potential investor in Jinzai, whether a beginner or expert, Jinzai Food's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jinzai Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jinzai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jinzai Food's price trends.

Jinzai Food Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jinzai Food stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jinzai Food could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jinzai Food by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jinzai Food Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jinzai Food's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jinzai Food's current price.

Jinzai Food Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jinzai Food stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jinzai Food shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jinzai Food stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jinzai Food Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jinzai Food Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jinzai Food's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jinzai Food's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jinzai stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Jinzai Stock

Jinzai Food financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jinzai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jinzai with respect to the benefits of owning Jinzai Food security.