Hubei Yingtong Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

002861 Stock   13.47  0.09  0.67%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication on the next trading day is expected to be 13.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.65. Hubei Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Hubei Yingtong stock prices and determine the direction of Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hubei Yingtong's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Hubei Yingtong's Total Stockholder Equity is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Tangible Assets is expected to grow to about 887 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 1.6 B.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication is based on a synthetically constructed Hubei Yingtongdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Hubei Yingtong 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication on the next trading day is expected to be 13.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65, mean absolute percentage error of 0.76, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.65.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hubei Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hubei Yingtong's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hubei Yingtong Stock Forecast Pattern

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Hubei Yingtong Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hubei Yingtong's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hubei Yingtong's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.86 and 17.71, respectively. We have considered Hubei Yingtong's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.47
13.28
Expected Value
17.71
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hubei Yingtong stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hubei Yingtong stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria81.0829
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.2245
MADMean absolute deviation0.6499
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0485
SAESum of the absolute errors26.647
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Hubei Yingtong Telec 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Hubei Yingtong

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hubei Yingtong Telec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.0413.4717.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.8511.2815.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hubei Yingtong. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hubei Yingtong's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hubei Yingtong's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hubei Yingtong Telec.

Other Forecasting Options for Hubei Yingtong

For every potential investor in Hubei, whether a beginner or expert, Hubei Yingtong's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hubei Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hubei. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hubei Yingtong's price trends.

Hubei Yingtong Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hubei Yingtong stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hubei Yingtong could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hubei Yingtong by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hubei Yingtong Telec Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hubei Yingtong's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hubei Yingtong's current price.

Hubei Yingtong Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hubei Yingtong stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hubei Yingtong shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hubei Yingtong stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hubei Yingtong Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hubei Yingtong's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hubei Yingtong's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hubei stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Hubei Stock

Hubei Yingtong financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hubei Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hubei with respect to the benefits of owning Hubei Yingtong security.