Nanxing Furniture Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

002757 Stock   15.20  0.22  1.43%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Nanxing Furniture Machinery on the next trading day is expected to be 15.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.70. Nanxing Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Nanxing Furniture stock prices and determine the direction of Nanxing Furniture Machinery's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nanxing Furniture's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Nanxing Furniture's Total Current Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Accounts Payable is expected to grow to about 617.5 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 2.4 B.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Nanxing Furniture Machinery is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Nanxing Furniture 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 19th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Nanxing Furniture Machinery on the next trading day is expected to be 15.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77, mean absolute percentage error of 1.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.70.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nanxing Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nanxing Furniture's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nanxing Furniture Stock Forecast Pattern

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Nanxing Furniture Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nanxing Furniture's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nanxing Furniture's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.21 and 19.74, respectively. We have considered Nanxing Furniture's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.20
15.47
Expected Value
19.74
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nanxing Furniture stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nanxing Furniture stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.0679
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0658
MADMean absolute deviation0.7667
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0477
SAESum of the absolute errors43.7025
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Nanxing Furniture. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Nanxing Furniture Machinery and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Nanxing Furniture

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nanxing Furniture. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.9415.2019.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.1113.3717.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nanxing Furniture. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nanxing Furniture's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nanxing Furniture's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nanxing Furniture.

Other Forecasting Options for Nanxing Furniture

For every potential investor in Nanxing, whether a beginner or expert, Nanxing Furniture's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nanxing Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nanxing. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nanxing Furniture's price trends.

Nanxing Furniture Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nanxing Furniture stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nanxing Furniture could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nanxing Furniture by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nanxing Furniture Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nanxing Furniture's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nanxing Furniture's current price.

Nanxing Furniture Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nanxing Furniture stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nanxing Furniture shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nanxing Furniture stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nanxing Furniture Machinery entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nanxing Furniture Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nanxing Furniture's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nanxing Furniture's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nanxing stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Nanxing Stock

Nanxing Furniture financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nanxing Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nanxing with respect to the benefits of owning Nanxing Furniture security.