Taiji Computer Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

002368 Stock   24.56  0.80  3.15%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Taiji Computer Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 24.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 51.33. Taiji Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Taiji Computer stock prices and determine the direction of Taiji Computer Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Taiji Computer's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Taiji Computer's Accounts Payable is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Assets is expected to grow to about 422.3 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 8.8 B.
Taiji Computer simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Taiji Computer Corp are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Taiji Computer Corp prices get older.

Taiji Computer Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Taiji Computer Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 24.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86, mean absolute percentage error of 1.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 51.33.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Taiji Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Taiji Computer's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Taiji Computer Stock Forecast Pattern

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Taiji Computer Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Taiji Computer's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Taiji Computer's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.17 and 28.95, respectively. We have considered Taiji Computer's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
24.56
24.56
Expected Value
28.95
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Taiji Computer stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Taiji Computer stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.3805
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1435
MADMean absolute deviation0.8555
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0346
SAESum of the absolute errors51.33
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Taiji Computer Corp forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Taiji Computer observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Taiji Computer

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Taiji Computer Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.1224.5128.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.8024.1928.58
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.220.220.23
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Taiji Computer. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Taiji Computer's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Taiji Computer's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Taiji Computer Corp.

Other Forecasting Options for Taiji Computer

For every potential investor in Taiji, whether a beginner or expert, Taiji Computer's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Taiji Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Taiji. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Taiji Computer's price trends.

Taiji Computer Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Taiji Computer stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Taiji Computer could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Taiji Computer by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Taiji Computer Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Taiji Computer's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Taiji Computer's current price.

Taiji Computer Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Taiji Computer stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Taiji Computer shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Taiji Computer stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Taiji Computer Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Taiji Computer Risk Indicators

The analysis of Taiji Computer's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Taiji Computer's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting taiji stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Taiji Stock

Taiji Computer financial ratios help investors to determine whether Taiji Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Taiji with respect to the benefits of owning Taiji Computer security.