McDonalds Earnings Estimate

MCD Stock  USD 299.83  0.00  0.00%   
The next projected EPS of McDonalds is estimated to be 2.6969 with future projections ranging from a low of 2.59 to a high of 2.88. McDonalds' most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 11.39. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for McDonalds is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
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McDonalds is projected to generate 2.6969 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2025. McDonalds earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected McDonalds EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on McDonalds' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as McDonalds, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

McDonalds Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

By analyzing McDonalds' earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across McDonalds' analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes. At present, McDonalds' Net Profit Margin is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Gross Profit Margin is expected to grow to 0.56, whereas Gross Profit is forecasted to decline to about 8.9 B.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in McDonalds. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
For information on how to trade McDonalds Stock refer to our How to Trade McDonalds Stock guide.

McDonalds Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of McDonalds' earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of McDonalds is estimated to be 2.6969 with the future projection ranging from a low of 2.59 to a high of 2.88. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for McDonalds is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
2.83
2.59
Lowest
Expected EPS
2.6969
2.88
Highest

McDonalds Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of McDonalds' value are higher than the current market price of the McDonalds stock. In this case, investors may conclude that McDonalds is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and McDonalds' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2025Current EPS (TTM)
3895.27%
2.83
2.6969
11.39

McDonalds Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by McDonalds analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge McDonalds' stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only McDonalds' upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.

McDonalds Quarterly Gross Profit

3.54 Billion

At present, McDonalds' Earnings Yield is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 946.5 M, whereas Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is forecasted to decline to about 4.6 B.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of McDonalds' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
298.42299.72301.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
269.85314.58315.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
296.41297.72299.02
Details
36 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
294.32323.43359.00
Details
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of McDonalds assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards McDonalds. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving McDonalds' stock price in the short term.

McDonalds Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of McDonalds refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering McDonalds predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of McDonalds, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

McDonalds Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as McDonalds, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of McDonalds should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

McDonalds Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact McDonalds' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2025-02-03
2024-12-312.85792.83-0.0279
2024-10-29
2024-09-303.23.230.03
2024-07-29
2024-06-303.072.97-0.1
2024-04-30
2024-03-312.722.7-0.02
2024-02-05
2023-12-312.822.950.13
2023-10-30
2023-09-3033.190.19
2023-07-27
2023-06-302.793.170.3813 
2023-04-25
2023-03-312.332.630.312 
2023-01-31
2022-12-312.452.590.14
2022-10-27
2022-09-302.582.680.1
2022-07-26
2022-06-302.472.550.08
2022-04-28
2022-03-312.172.280.11
2022-01-27
2021-12-312.342.23-0.11
2021-10-27
2021-09-302.462.760.312 
2021-07-28
2021-06-302.112.370.2612 
2021-04-29
2021-03-311.811.920.11
2021-01-28
2020-12-311.781.7-0.08
2020-11-09
2020-09-301.92.220.3216 
2020-07-28
2020-06-300.740.66-0.0810 
2020-04-30
2020-03-311.571.47-0.1
2020-01-29
2019-12-311.961.970.01
2019-10-22
2019-09-302.212.11-0.1
2019-07-26
2019-06-302.052.050.0
2019-04-30
2019-03-311.751.780.03
2019-01-30
2018-12-311.891.970.08
2018-10-23
2018-09-301.992.10.11
2018-07-26
2018-06-301.921.990.07
2018-04-30
2018-03-311.671.790.12
2018-01-30
2017-12-311.591.710.12
2017-10-24
2017-09-301.771.76-0.01
2017-07-25
2017-06-301.621.730.11
2017-04-25
2017-03-311.331.470.1410 
2017-01-23
2016-12-311.411.430.02
2016-10-21
2016-09-301.481.620.14
2016-07-26
2016-06-301.381.450.07
2016-04-22
2016-03-311.161.230.07
2016-01-25
2015-12-311.231.310.08
2015-10-22
2015-09-301.271.40.1310 
2015-07-23
2015-06-301.231.290.06
2015-04-22
2015-03-311.061.01-0.05
2015-01-23
2014-12-311.221.13-0.09
2014-10-21
2014-09-301.371.36-0.01
2014-07-22
2014-06-301.441.4-0.04
2014-04-22
2014-03-311.241.21-0.03
2014-01-23
2013-12-311.391.40.01
2013-10-21
2013-09-301.511.520.01
2013-07-22
2013-06-301.41.38-0.02
2013-04-19
2013-03-311.271.26-0.01
2013-01-23
2012-12-311.331.380.05
2012-10-19
2012-09-301.471.43-0.04
2012-07-23
2012-06-301.371.32-0.05
2012-04-20
2012-03-311.231.230.0
2012-01-24
2011-12-311.31.330.03
2011-10-21
2011-09-301.431.450.02
2011-07-22
2011-06-301.281.350.07
2011-04-21
2011-03-311.141.150.01
2011-01-24
2010-12-311.161.160.0
2010-10-21
2010-09-301.251.290.04
2010-07-23
2010-06-301.121.130.01
2010-04-21
2010-03-310.961.030.07
2010-01-22
2009-12-311.021.030.01
2009-10-22
2009-09-301.111.150.04
2009-07-23
2009-06-300.970.970.0
2009-04-22
2009-03-310.820.830.01
2009-01-26
2008-12-310.830.870.04
2008-10-22
2008-09-300.981.050.07
2008-07-23
2008-06-300.860.940.08
2008-04-22
2008-03-310.70.810.1115 
2008-01-28
2007-12-310.710.730.02
2007-10-19
2007-09-300.830.830.0
2007-07-24
2007-06-300.710.710.0
2007-04-20
2007-03-310.620.620.0
2007-01-24
2006-12-310.610.610.0
2006-10-19
2006-09-300.680.680.0
2006-07-25
2006-06-300.620.670.05
2006-04-21
2006-03-310.490.490.0
2006-01-24
2005-12-310.480.480.0
2005-10-20
2005-09-300.580.580.0
2005-07-21
2005-06-300.420.420.0
2005-04-21
2005-03-310.430.560.1330 
2005-01-28
2004-12-310.460.45-0.01
2004-10-19
2004-09-300.610.610.0
2004-07-22
2004-06-300.470.470.0
2004-04-27
2004-03-310.40.40.0
2004-01-26
2003-12-310.350.350.0
2003-10-22
2003-09-300.40.430.03
2003-07-29
2003-06-300.370.370.0
2003-04-28
2003-03-310.280.290.01
2003-01-23
2002-12-310.250.250.0
2002-10-22
2002-09-300.390.38-0.01
2002-07-24
2002-06-300.380.390.01
2002-04-18
2002-03-310.290.310.02
2002-01-24
2001-12-310.340.340.0
2001-10-18
2001-09-300.390.420.03
2001-07-24
2001-06-300.340.340.0
2001-04-19
2001-03-310.30.29-0.01
2001-01-24
2000-12-310.350.34-0.01
2000-10-19
2000-09-300.410.410.0
2000-07-25
2000-06-300.40.39-0.01
2000-04-20
2000-03-310.320.330.01
2000-01-26
1999-12-310.360.35-0.01
1999-10-21
1999-09-300.390.390.0
1999-07-22
1999-06-300.370.370.0
1999-04-22
1999-03-310.290.30.01
1999-01-26
1998-12-310.320.320.0
1998-10-19
1998-09-300.340.350.01
1998-07-20
1998-06-300.330.330.0
1998-04-17
1998-03-310.260.260.0
1998-01-22
1997-12-310.30.29-0.01
1997-10-17
1997-09-300.330.32-0.01
1997-07-17
1997-06-300.320.320.0
1997-04-17
1997-03-310.250.250.0
1997-01-23
1996-12-310.290.30.01
1996-10-18
1996-09-300.320.31-0.01
1996-07-18
1996-06-300.290.30.01
1996-04-18
1996-03-310.220.220.0

About McDonalds Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of McDonalds earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current McDonalds estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as McDonalds fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Retained Earnings66.8 B70.2 B
Retained Earnings Total Equity68.5 B47 B
Earnings Yield 0.04  0.06 
Price Earnings Ratio 25.21  16.70 
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio(22.56)(21.43)

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether McDonalds is a strong investment it is important to analyze McDonalds' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact McDonalds' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding McDonalds Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in McDonalds. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
For information on how to trade McDonalds Stock refer to our How to Trade McDonalds Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of McDonalds. If investors know McDonalds will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about McDonalds listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Dividend Share
6.78
Earnings Share
11.39
Revenue Per Share
36.085
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0)
Return On Assets
0.1331
The market value of McDonalds is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of McDonalds that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of McDonalds' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is McDonalds' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because McDonalds' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect McDonalds' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between McDonalds' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if McDonalds is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, McDonalds' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.