Truecaller (Sweden) Volatility
| TRUE-B Stock | SEK 73.45 1.55 2.07% |
Truecaller appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Truecaller AB owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.21, which indicates the firm had a 0.21 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By inspecting Truecaller's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.7% is justified by implied risk. Please review Truecaller's Coefficient Of Variation of 611.96, risk adjusted performance of 0.1522, and Semi Deviation of 1.21 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Truecaller's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 90 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Truecaller Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Truecaller daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Truecaller's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Truecaller volatility.
Truecaller |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Truecaller can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Truecaller at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Truecaller's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.
Moving together with Truecaller Stock
Moving against Truecaller Stock
Truecaller Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Truecaller's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Truecaller stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Truecaller stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Truecaller's beta of 0.73 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Truecaller stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Truecaller AB has relatively low volatility with skewness of 3.47 and kurtosis of 16.3. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Truecaller's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Truecaller's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Truecaller AB Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Truecaller correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Truecaller Beta |
Truecaller standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 3.4 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Truecaller's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Truecaller's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in truecaller stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Truecaller.
Truecaller AB Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Truecaller stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Truecaller's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Truecaller's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Truecaller's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Truecaller's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Truecaller's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Truecaller's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Truecaller's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Truecaller AB Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Truecaller Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Truecaller has a beta of 0.7332 . This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Truecaller average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Truecaller AB will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Truecaller or Technology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Truecaller's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Truecaller stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Truecaller AB has an alpha of 0.5768, implying that it can generate a 0.58 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Truecaller Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Truecaller Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Truecaller is 486.94. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 11.56 and standard deviation of 3.4. The mean deviation of Truecaller AB is currently at 1.96. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.89
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.58 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.73 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
Truecaller Stock Return Volatility
Truecaller historical daily return volatility represents how much of Truecaller stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company accepts 3.3999% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8446% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Truecaller Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Truecaller or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Truecaller may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Truecaller's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Truecaller and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Truecaller fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize Truecaller's volatility to invest better
Higher Truecaller's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Truecaller AB stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Truecaller AB stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Truecaller AB investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Truecaller's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Truecaller's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Truecaller Investment Opportunity
Truecaller AB has a volatility of 3.4 and is 4.05 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 30 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Truecaller. You can use Truecaller AB to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of Truecaller to be traded at kr70.51 in 90 days.Modest diversification
The correlation between Truecaller AB and DJI is 0.2 (i.e., Modest diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Truecaller AB and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Truecaller Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Truecaller's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Truecaller's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Truecaller stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1522 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.7244 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.87 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 611.96 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.27 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Truecaller Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Truecaller as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Truecaller's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Truecaller's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Truecaller AB.
Complementary Tools for Truecaller Stock analysis
When running Truecaller's price analysis, check to measure Truecaller's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Truecaller is operating at the current time. Most of Truecaller's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Truecaller's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Truecaller's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Truecaller to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Portfolio Holdings Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing | |
| Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets | |
| Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm | |
| Idea Analyzer Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas | |
| Earnings Calls Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges | |
| Companies Directory Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals | |
| Bond Analysis Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios. | |
| Portfolio Manager State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital | |
| Risk-Return Analysis View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume |