Turcas Petrol (Turkey) Volatility
TRCAS Stock | TRY 26.40 0.58 2.15% |
Turcas Petrol is not too volatile at the moment. Turcas Petrol AS owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0602, which indicates the firm had a 0.0602% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Turcas Petrol AS, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Turcas Petrol's Coefficient Of Variation of 1027.59, risk adjusted performance of 0.0836, and Semi Deviation of 1.89 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%. Key indicators related to Turcas Petrol's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Turcas Petrol Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Turcas daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Turcas's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Turcas Petrol volatility.
Turcas |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Turcas Petrol at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Turcas stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.
Moving together with Turcas Stock
0.61 | ISCTR | Turkiye Is Bankasi | PairCorr |
0.67 | YKBNK | Yapi ve Kredi | PairCorr |
0.76 | AKBNK | Akbank TAS | PairCorr |
0.79 | GARAN | Turkiye Garanti Bankasi | PairCorr |
0.76 | EKGYO | Emlak Konut Gayrimenkul | PairCorr |
Turcas Petrol Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Turcas Petrol's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Turcas stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Turcas stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Turcas Petrol's beta of -0.29 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Turcas Petrol stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Turcas Petrol AS currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.08 and Jensen Alpha of 0.22. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Turcas Petrol's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Turcas Petrol's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Turcas Petrol AS Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Turcas Petrol correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Turcas Beta |
Turcas standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 2.2 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Turcas Petrol's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Turcas Petrol's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in turcas stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Turcas Petrol.
Turcas Petrol AS Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Turcas Petrol stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Turcas Petrol's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Turcas Petrol's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Turcas Petrol's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Turcas Petrol's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Turcas Petrol's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Turcas Petrol's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Turcas Petrol's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Turcas Petrol AS Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Turcas Petrol Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Turcas Petrol AS has a beta of -0.2933 . This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Turcas Petrol are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Turcas Petrol AS is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Turcas Petrol or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Turcas Petrol's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Turcas stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Turcas Petrol AS has an alpha of 0.2161, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
Returns |
What Drives a Turcas Petrol Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Turcas Petrol Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Turcas Petrol is 1661.51. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 4.84 and standard deviation of 2.2. The mean deviation of Turcas Petrol AS is currently at 1.59. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.79
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Turcas Petrol Stock Return Volatility
Turcas Petrol historical daily return volatility represents how much of Turcas Petrol stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm accepts 2.2006% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7982% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
Timeline |
About Turcas Petrol Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Turcas Petrol or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Turcas Petrol may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Turcas's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Turcas Petrol and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Turcas Petrol fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Turcas Petrol A.S., through its subsidiaries, operates in the fuel retail and lubricants, conventional energy, and renewable energy fields primarily in Turkey. The company was founded in 1931 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey. TURCAS PETROL operates under UtilitiesIndependent Power Producers classification in Turkey and is traded on Istanbul Stock Exchange. It employs 82 people.
Turcas Petrol's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Turcas Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Turcas Petrol's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Turcas Petrol's volatility to invest better
Higher Turcas Petrol's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Turcas Petrol AS stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Turcas Petrol AS stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Turcas Petrol AS investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Turcas Petrol's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Turcas Petrol's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Turcas Petrol Investment Opportunity
Turcas Petrol AS has a volatility of 2.2 and is 2.75 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 19 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Turcas Petrol. You can use Turcas Petrol AS to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of Turcas Petrol to be traded at 25.34 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Turcas Petrol AS and DJI is -0.1 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Turcas Petrol AS and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Turcas Petrol Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Turcas Petrol's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Turcas Petrol's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Turcas Petrol stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0836 | |||
Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.70) | |||
Mean Deviation | 1.65 | |||
Semi Deviation | 1.89 | |||
Downside Deviation | 2.07 | |||
Coefficient Of Variation | 1027.59 | |||
Standard Deviation | 2.26 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Turcas Petrol Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Turcas Petrol as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Turcas Petrol's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Turcas Petrol's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Turcas Petrol AS.
Complementary Tools for Turcas Stock analysis
When running Turcas Petrol's price analysis, check to measure Turcas Petrol's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Turcas Petrol is operating at the current time. Most of Turcas Petrol's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Turcas Petrol's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Turcas Petrol's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Turcas Petrol to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Crypto Correlations Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins | |
Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk | |
Portfolio Analyzer Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine | |
Risk-Return Analysis View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume | |
Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm | |
Odds Of Bankruptcy Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years | |
Premium Stories Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope | |
Idea Analyzer Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas | |
AI Portfolio Architect Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities |