Financial Services Portfolio Fund Volatility

SFPAX Fund  USD 11.62  0.01  0.09%   
Financial Services appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Financial Services secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.21, which denotes the fund had a 0.21% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Financial Services Portfolio, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please utilize Financial Services' Coefficient Of Variation of 462.94, mean deviation of 0.7609, and Downside Deviation of 0.7963 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Financial Services' volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
Financial Services Mutual Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Financial daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Financial's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Financial Services volatility.
  
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with Financial Services. They may decide to buy additional shares of Financial Services at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.

Moving together with Financial Mutual Fund

  0.91SABAX Salient Alternative BetaPairCorr
  0.92SABIX Aggressive BalancedPairCorr
  0.91SABCX Salient Alternative BetaPairCorr
  0.9SAMAX Moderately AggressivePairCorr
  0.9SAMCX Salient Mlp FundPairCorr
  0.91SAMIX Moderately AggressivePairCorr
  0.89SSCCX Small CapitalizationPairCorr
  0.9SSCPX Small CapitalizationPairCorr
  0.9SSCYX Small CapitalizationPairCorr

Moving against Financial Mutual Fund

  0.83SIBPX Investment Quality BondPairCorr
  0.56SHPCX Health BiotchnologyPairCorr
  0.55SHPAX Health BiotchnologyPairCorr
  0.54SBHIX Health BiotchnologyPairCorr
  0.49SIEYX International EquityPairCorr

Financial Services Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Financial Services' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Financial mutual fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Financial mutual fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, Financial Services's beta of 1.26 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Financial Services mutual fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Financial Services Portfolio exhibits relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.53 and kurtosis of 13.35. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Financial Services' mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Financial Services' mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Financial Services Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Financial Services correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Financial Beta

    
  1.26  
Financial standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  1.16  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Financial Services's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Financial Services' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in financial mutual fund tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Financial Services.

Financial Services Mutual Fund Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Financial Services fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Financial Services' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Financial Services' mutual fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A mutual fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Financial Services' volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of fund volatility measures Financial Services' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Financial Services' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the mutual fund.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Financial Services' current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Financial Services' to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Financial Services Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Financial Services Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.2637 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Financial Services will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Financial Services or Saratoga sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Financial Services' price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Financial fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Financial Services Portfolio has an alpha of 0.0918, implying that it can generate a 0.0918 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Financial Services' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how financial mutual fund's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Financial Services Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Financial Services Mutual Fund Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Financial Services is 482.71. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 1.35 and standard deviation of 1.16. The mean deviation of Financial Services Portfolio is currently at 0.76. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.26
σ
Overall volatility
1.16
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Financial Services Mutual Fund Return Volatility

Financial Services historical daily return volatility represents how much of Financial Services fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund shows 1.1601% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7444% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Financial Services Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Financial Services or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Financial Services may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Financial's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Financial Services and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Financial Services fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
The fund will normally invest at least 80 percent of its total assets in U.S. and foreign equity securities issued by financial services companies, regardless of their stock market value . Equity securities include common stocks, securities convertible into common stocks, preferred stocks and warrants. Up to 20 percent of the Portfolios total assets may be invested in U.S. and foreign securities outside of financial companies.
Financial Services' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Financial Mutual Fund over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Financial Services' price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Financial Services' volatility to invest better

Higher Financial Services' fund volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Financial Services fund is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Financial Services fund volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Financial Services investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Financial Services' fund can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Financial Services' fund relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Financial Services Investment Opportunity

Financial Services Portfolio has a volatility of 1.16 and is 1.57 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 10 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Financial Services. You can use Financial Services Portfolio to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The mutual fund experiences a normal downward trend and little activity. Check odds of Financial Services to be traded at $11.5 in 90 days.

Very poor diversification

The correlation between Financial Services Portfolio and DJI is 0.84 (i.e., Very poor diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Financial Services Portfolio and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Financial Services Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Financial Services' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Financial Services' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Financial Services mutual fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential mutual funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Financial Services Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Financial Services as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Financial Services' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Financial Services' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Financial Services Portfolio.

Other Information on Investing in Financial Mutual Fund

Financial Services financial ratios help investors to determine whether Financial Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Financial with respect to the benefits of owning Financial Services security.
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