Regis Resources Stock Volatility
| RGRNF Stock | USD 1.70 0.10 6.25% |
Regis Resources appears to be dangerous, given 3 months investment horizon. Regis Resources maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.16, which implies the firm had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Regis Resources' technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.76% is justified by implied risk. Please evaluate Regis Resources' Coefficient Of Variation of 760.05, semi deviation of 2.66, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.109 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Regis Resources' volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Regis Resources Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Regis daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Regis's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Regis Resources volatility.
Regis |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Regis Resources can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Regis Resources at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Regis Resources' stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.
Moving together with Regis Pink Sheet
Moving against Regis Pink Sheet
| 0.6 | NFPDF | Nissin Foods Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.5 | NCMGF | Newcrest Mining | PairCorr |
| 0.49 | NCMGY | Newcrest Mining | PairCorr |
| 0.48 | NEM | Newmont Goldcorp Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.35 | GOLD | Barrick Gold Corp | PairCorr |
Regis Resources Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Regis Resources' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Regis pink sheet compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Regis pink sheet's returns against your selected market. In other words, Regis Resources's beta of -1.22 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Regis Resources pink sheet can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Regis Resources shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Regis Resources' pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Regis Resources' pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Regis Resources Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Regis Resources correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Regis Beta |
Regis standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 4.71 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Regis Resources's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Regis Resources' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in regis pink sheet tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Regis Resources.
Regis Resources Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Regis Resources pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Regis Resources' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Regis Resources' pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Regis Resources' volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of pink sheet volatility measures Regis Resources' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Regis Resources' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Regis Resources' current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Regis Resources' to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Regis Resources Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Regis Resources Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon Regis Resources has a beta of -1.2225 indicating as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Regis Resources are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Regis Resources is expected to outperform its benchmark.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Regis Resources or Basic Materials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Regis Resources' price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Regis pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Regis Resources has an alpha of 0.7598, implying that it can generate a 0.76 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Regis Resources Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Regis Resources Pink Sheet Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Regis Resources is 623.99. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 22.2 and standard deviation of 4.71. The mean deviation of Regis Resources is currently at 2.6. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.76 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Regis Resources Pink Sheet Return Volatility
Regis Resources historical daily return volatility represents how much of Regis Resources pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 4.7112% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7777% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Regis Resources Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Regis Resources or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Regis Resources may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Regis's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Regis Resources and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Regis Resources fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Regis Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of gold projects in Australia. Regis Resources Limited was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Subiaco, Australia. Regis Resources operates under Gold classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.
Regis Resources' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Regis Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Regis Resources' price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Regis Resources' volatility to invest better
Higher Regis Resources' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Regis Resources stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Regis Resources stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Regis Resources investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Regis Resources' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Regis Resources' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Regis Resources Investment Opportunity
Regis Resources has a volatility of 4.71 and is 6.04 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Regis Resources is lower than 41 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Regis Resources to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The pink sheet experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. The trend is possibly hyped up. Check odds of Regis Resources to be traded at $2.13 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Regis Resources and DJI is -0.2 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Regis Resources and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Regis Resources Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Regis Resources' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Regis Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Regis Resources pink sheet's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.109 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.49) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.56 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.66 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 6.73 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 760.05 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.73 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential pink sheets, we recommend comparing similar pink sheets with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Regis Resources Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Regis Resources as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Regis Resources' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Regis Resources' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Regis Resources.
Complementary Tools for Regis Pink Sheet analysis
When running Regis Resources' price analysis, check to measure Regis Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Regis Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Regis Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Regis Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Regis Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Regis Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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