Orascom Investment (Egypt) Volatility
| OIH Stock | 0.54 0.03 5.88% |
Orascom Investment appears to be extremely dangerous, given 3 months investment horizon. Orascom Investment maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.19, which implies the firm had a 0.19% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Orascom Investment's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.56% is justified by implied risk. Please evaluate Orascom Investment's Semi Deviation of 1.33, coefficient of variation of 587.48, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1307 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
Orascom |
Orascom Investment Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Orascom daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Orascom's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Orascom Investment volatility.
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Orascom Investment can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Orascom Investment at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Orascom stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Orascom Investment's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Orascom Investment Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Orascom Investment's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Orascom stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Orascom stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Orascom Investment's beta of 0.51 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Orascom Investment stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Orascom Investment Holding currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.13 and Jensen Alpha of 0.4. Orascom Investment Holding is a potential penny stock. Although Orascom Investment may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Orascom Investment Holding. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Orascom instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Orascom Investment Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Orascom Investment correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Orascom Beta |
Orascom standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 2.88 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Orascom Investment's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Orascom Investment's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in orascom stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Orascom Investment.
Orascom Investment Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Orascom Investment stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Orascom Investment's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Orascom Investment's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Orascom Investment's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Orascom Investment's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Orascom Investment's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Orascom Investment's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Orascom Investment's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Orascom Investment Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Orascom Investment Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Orascom Investment has a beta of 0.5115 . This indicates as returns on the market go up, Orascom Investment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Orascom Investment Holding will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Orascom Investment or Diversified Assets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Orascom Investment's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Orascom stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Orascom Investment Holding has an alpha of 0.396, implying that it can generate a 0.4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an Orascom Investment Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Orascom Investment Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Orascom Investment is 514.04. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 8.31 and standard deviation of 2.88. The mean deviation of Orascom Investment Holding is currently at 2.14. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.73
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.40 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Orascom Investment Stock Return Volatility
Orascom Investment historical daily return volatility represents how much of Orascom Investment stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company accepts 2.8828% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7299% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
Orascom Investment Investment Opportunity
Orascom Investment Holding has a volatility of 2.88 and is 3.95 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 25 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Orascom Investment. You can use Orascom Investment Holding to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of Orascom Investment to be traded at 0.675 in 90 days.Average diversification
The correlation between Orascom Investment Holding and DJI is 0.14 (i.e., Average diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Orascom Investment Holding and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Orascom Investment Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Orascom Investment's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Orascom Investment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Orascom Investment stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1307 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.8743 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.89 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.67 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 587.48 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.66 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Orascom Investment Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Orascom Investment as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Orascom Investment's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Orascom Investment's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Orascom Investment Holding.
Additional Tools for Orascom Stock Analysis
When running Orascom Investment's price analysis, check to measure Orascom Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orascom Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Orascom Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orascom Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orascom Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orascom Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.