Origin Protocol Volatility
| OGN Crypto | USD 0.13 0.02 18.18% |
Origin Protocol appears to be extremely risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Origin Protocol maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.14, which implies digital coin had a 0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Origin Protocol's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.73% is justified by implied risk. Please evaluate Origin Protocol's Coefficient Of Variation of 1222.53, risk adjusted performance of 0.0709, and Semi Deviation of 4.29 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Origin Protocol's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk | Risk of Devaluation | 90 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Origin Protocol Crypto Coin volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Origin daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Origin's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Origin Protocol volatility.
Origin |
Since volatility provides cryptocurrency investors with entry points to take advantage of coin prices, investors in projects such as Origin Protocol can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for traders who play the long game. Here, they may buy additional Origin Protocol shares at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Origin coin that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Origin Protocol's crypto rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other coins with better opportunities. Investing in volatile markets will allow investors in evolving Defi or crypto projects such as Origin to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with Origin Crypto Coin
| 0.84 | XRP | XRP | PairCorr |
| 0.8 | SOL | Solana | PairCorr |
| 0.88 | STETH | Staked Ether | PairCorr |
| 0.68 | SUI | Sui | PairCorr |
| 0.81 | XLM | Stellar | PairCorr |
Origin Protocol Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Origin Protocol's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Origin crypto coin compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Origin crypto coin's returns against your selected market. In other words, Origin Protocol's beta of 0.5 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Origin Protocol crypto coin can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Origin Protocol exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. We encourage cryptocurrency investors to investigate Origin Protocol individually to make sure intended market timing strategies and available technical indicators are consistent with their estimates about Origin Protocol projected systematic risk. Please note that many cryptocurrencies are speculative and subject to artificial price hype. Ensure you understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Origin Protocol. We encourage all cryptocurrency investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before the public announcements. Please also check the biographies and work history of current and past project contributors before investing in high-volatility crypto coins. You can indeed make money on Origin if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that cryptos that have been the subject of artificial hype usually cannot maintain its increased price for more than a few days. The price of a promoted high-volatility instrument will almost always revert. The only way to increase coin holder value is through legitimate performance analysis backed up by solid fundamentals of the project the coin represents. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Origin Protocol's crypto coin risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Origin Protocol's price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different cryptos as prices fall or investing in DeFi projects.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Origin Protocol Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Origin Protocol correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Origin Beta |
Origin standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 5.22 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Origin Protocol's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Origin Protocol's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in origin crypto coin tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Origin Protocol.
Origin Protocol Crypto Coin Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Origin Protocol crypto price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Origin Protocol's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Origin Protocol's crypto coin to predict their future moves. A crypto that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A crypto coin with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile crypto is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Origin Protocol's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of crypto volatility measures Origin Protocol's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Origin Protocol's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the crypto coin.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Origin Protocol's current market price. This means that the crypto will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Origin Protocol's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Origin Protocol Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Origin Protocol Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Origin Protocol has a beta of 0.5011 . This indicates as returns on the market go up, Origin Protocol average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Origin Protocol will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded cryptocurrencies are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or coin-specific or project-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Origin Protocol project will adversely affect the coin's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different digital assets on different exchanges whose coin prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Origin Protocol's price will be affected by overall cryptocurrency market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Origin crypto's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Origin Protocol has an alpha of 0.3182, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
Origin Protocol Crypto Coin Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Origin Protocol is 711.2. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 27.27 and standard deviation of 5.22. The mean deviation of Origin Protocol is currently at 3.66. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Origin Protocol Crypto Coin Return Volatility
Origin Protocol historical daily return volatility represents how much of Origin Protocol crypto's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. Keep in mind that cryptocurrencies such as Origin Protocol have only been around for a short time and are still in the price discovery phase. This means that prices will continue to change as investors and governments work through the initial concerns until prices stabilize, provided a stable point can be reached. Origin Protocol assumes 5.2222% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7777% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Origin Protocol Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Origin Protocol or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Origin Protocol may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Origin's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Origin Protocol and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Origin Protocol fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize Origin Protocol's volatility to invest better
Higher Origin Protocol's crypto volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Origin Protocol crypto is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Origin Protocol crypto volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Origin Protocol investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Origin Protocol's crypto can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Origin Protocol's crypto relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Origin Protocol Investment Opportunity
Origin Protocol has a volatility of 5.22 and is 6.69 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 46 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Origin Protocol. You can use Origin Protocol to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The crypto coin experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of Origin Protocol to be traded at $0.1625 in 90 days.Significant diversification
The correlation between Origin Protocol and DJI is 0.08 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Origin Protocol and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. Please note that Origin Protocol is a digital instrument and cryptocurrency exchanges were notoriously volatile since the beginning of their establishment.
Origin Protocol Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Origin Protocol's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Origin Protocol's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Origin Protocol crypto coin's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0709 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.7654 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.44 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.29 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.71 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1222.53 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.75 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential crypto coins, we recommend comparing similar cryptos with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Origin Protocol Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Origin Protocol as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Origin Protocol's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Origin Protocol's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Origin Protocol.
When determining whether Origin Protocol offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Origin Protocol's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Origin Protocol Crypto. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Origin Protocol. Also, note that the market value of any cryptocurrency could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.