Libstar Holdings (South Africa) Volatility
LBR Stock | 326.00 1.00 0.31% |
Libstar Holdings has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0748, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0748 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Libstar Holdings exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Libstar Holdings' Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07), mean deviation of 2.93, and Standard Deviation of 4.15 to check out the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Libstar Holdings' volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 90 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Libstar Holdings Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Libstar daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Libstar's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Libstar Holdings volatility.
Libstar |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Libstar Holdings can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Libstar Holdings at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Libstar Holdings' stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.
Moving together with Libstar Stock
Moving against Libstar Stock
0.56 | AHL | AH Vest Limited | PairCorr |
0.42 | SBK | Standard Bank Group | PairCorr |
0.4 | RCL | RCL Foods | PairCorr |
0.35 | WEZ | Wesizwe Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
Libstar Holdings Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Libstar Holdings' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Libstar stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Libstar stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Libstar Holdings's beta of 1.32 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Libstar Holdings stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Libstar Holdings exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.1 and kurtosis of 0.92. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Libstar Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Libstar Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Libstar Holdings Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Libstar Holdings correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Libstar Beta |
Libstar standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 4.26 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Libstar Holdings's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Libstar Holdings' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in libstar stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Libstar Holdings.
Libstar Holdings Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Libstar Holdings stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Libstar Holdings' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Libstar Holdings' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Libstar Holdings' volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Libstar Holdings' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Libstar Holdings' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Libstar Holdings' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Libstar Holdings' to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Libstar Holdings Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Libstar Holdings Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.3171 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Libstar Holdings will likely underperform.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Libstar Holdings or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Libstar Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Libstar stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Libstar Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
Returns |
What Drives a Libstar Holdings Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Libstar Holdings Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Libstar Holdings is -1336.74. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 18.11 and standard deviation of 4.26. The mean deviation of Libstar Holdings is currently at 3.02. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.89
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Libstar Holdings Stock Return Volatility
Libstar Holdings historical daily return volatility represents how much of Libstar Holdings stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm accepts 4.2554% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8446% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
Timeline |
About Libstar Holdings Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Libstar Holdings or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Libstar Holdings may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Libstar's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Libstar Holdings and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Libstar Holdings fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize Libstar Holdings' volatility to invest better
Higher Libstar Holdings' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Libstar Holdings stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Libstar Holdings stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Libstar Holdings investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Libstar Holdings' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Libstar Holdings' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Libstar Holdings Investment Opportunity
Libstar Holdings has a volatility of 4.26 and is 5.07 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Libstar Holdings is lower than 37 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Libstar Holdings to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a normal upward fluctuation. Check odds of Libstar Holdings to be traded at 342.3 in 90 days.Modest diversification
The correlation between Libstar Holdings and DJI is 0.28 (i.e., Modest diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Libstar Holdings and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Libstar Holdings Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Libstar Holdings' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Libstar Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Libstar Holdings stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.07) | |||
Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.29) | |||
Mean Deviation | 2.93 | |||
Coefficient Of Variation | (1,077) | |||
Standard Deviation | 4.15 | |||
Variance | 17.21 | |||
Information Ratio | (0.08) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Libstar Holdings Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Libstar Holdings as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Libstar Holdings' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Libstar Holdings' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Libstar Holdings.
Complementary Tools for Libstar Stock analysis
When running Libstar Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Libstar Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Libstar Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Libstar Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Libstar Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Libstar Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Libstar Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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