Illinois Tool (Germany) Volatility

ILT Stock  EUR 250.00  0.80  0.32%   
At this point, Illinois Tool is very steady. Illinois Tool Works holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.15, which attests that the entity had a 0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Illinois Tool Works, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Illinois Tool's Downside Deviation of 0.8315, market risk adjusted performance of 0.4352, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1267 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.15%. Key indicators related to Illinois Tool's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Illinois Tool Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Illinois daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Illinois's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Illinois Tool volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Illinois Tool can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Illinois Tool at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Illinois Tool's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.

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Moving against Illinois Stock

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Illinois Tool Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Illinois Tool's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Illinois stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Illinois stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Illinois Tool's beta of 0.34 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Illinois Tool stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Illinois Tool Works has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of 0.43, Maximum Drawdown of 4.38 and kurtosis of 0.34. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Illinois Tool's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Illinois Tool's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Illinois Tool Works Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Illinois Tool correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Illinois Beta

    
  0.34  
Illinois standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  0.97  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Illinois Tool's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Illinois Tool's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in illinois stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Illinois Tool.

Illinois Tool Works Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Illinois Tool stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Illinois Tool's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Illinois Tool's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Illinois Tool's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Illinois Tool's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Illinois Tool's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Illinois Tool's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Illinois Tool's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Illinois Tool Works Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Illinois Tool Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon Illinois Tool has a beta of 0.3389 . This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Illinois Tool average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Illinois Tool Works will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Illinois Tool or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Illinois Tool's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Illinois stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Illinois Tool Works has an alpha of 0.1366, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Illinois Tool's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how illinois stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an Illinois Tool Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Illinois Tool Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Illinois Tool is 664.7. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.94 and standard deviation of 0.97. The mean deviation of Illinois Tool Works is currently at 0.76. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.79
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.34
σ
Overall volatility
0.97
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Illinois Tool Stock Return Volatility

Illinois Tool historical daily return volatility represents how much of Illinois Tool stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 0.9706% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7982% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Illinois Tool Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Illinois Tool or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Illinois Tool may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Illinois's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Illinois Tool and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Illinois Tool fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Illinois Tool Works Inc. manufactures and sells industrial products and equipment worldwide. Illinois Tool Works Inc. was founded in 1912 and is based in Glenview, Illinois. Illinois Tool operates under Diversified Industrials classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 48000 people.
Illinois Tool's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Illinois Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Illinois Tool's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Illinois Tool's volatility to invest better

Higher Illinois Tool's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Illinois Tool Works stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Illinois Tool Works stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Illinois Tool Works investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Illinois Tool's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Illinois Tool's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Illinois Tool Investment Opportunity

Illinois Tool Works has a volatility of 0.97 and is 1.21 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Illinois Tool Works is lower than 8 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Illinois Tool Works to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a normal downward trend and little activity. Check odds of Illinois Tool to be traded at €247.5 in 90 days.

Modest diversification

The correlation between Illinois Tool Works and DJI is 0.27 (i.e., Modest diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Illinois Tool Works and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Illinois Tool Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Illinois Tool's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Illinois Tool's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Illinois Tool stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Illinois Tool Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Illinois Tool as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Illinois Tool's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Illinois Tool's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Illinois Tool Works.

Complementary Tools for Illinois Stock analysis

When running Illinois Tool's price analysis, check to measure Illinois Tool's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Illinois Tool is operating at the current time. Most of Illinois Tool's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Illinois Tool's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Illinois Tool's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Illinois Tool to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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