Hcm Tactical Growth Fund Volatility

HCMGX Fund  USD 33.68  0.19  0.57%   
Hcm Tactical appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Hcm Tactical Growth holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.18, which attests that the entity had a 0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Hcm Tactical Growth, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please utilize Hcm Tactical's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1924, risk adjusted performance of 0.124, and Downside Deviation of 1.76 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Hcm Tactical's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Hcm Tactical Mutual Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of HCM daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use HCM's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Hcm Tactical volatility.
  
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with Hcm Tactical. They may decide to buy additional shares of Hcm Tactical at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.

Moving together with HCM Mutual Fund

  0.98HCMPX Hcm Dividend SectorPairCorr
  0.98HCMQX Hcm Dividend SectorPairCorr
  1.0HCMSX Hcm Tactical Growth Steady GrowthPairCorr
  0.98HCMWX Hcm Dividend SectorPairCorr
  0.98HCMZX Hcm Dividend SectorPairCorr
  1.0HCMDX Hcm Tactical Growth Steady GrowthPairCorr
  1.0HCMEX Hcm Income PlusPairCorr

Hcm Tactical Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Hcm Tactical's beta coefficient measures the volatility of HCM mutual fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents HCM mutual fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, Hcm Tactical's beta of 1.26 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Hcm Tactical mutual fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Hcm Tactical Growth has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.28 and kurtosis of 1.92. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hcm Tactical's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hcm Tactical's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Hcm Tactical Growth Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Hcm Tactical correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

HCM Beta

    
  1.26  
HCM standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  1.55  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Hcm Tactical's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Hcm Tactical's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in hcm mutual fund tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Hcm Tactical.

Hcm Tactical Growth Mutual Fund Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Hcm Tactical fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Hcm Tactical's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Hcm Tactical's mutual fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A mutual fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Hcm Tactical's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of fund volatility measures Hcm Tactical's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Hcm Tactical's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the mutual fund.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Hcm Tactical's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Hcm Tactical's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Hcm Tactical Growth Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Hcm Tactical Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.2619 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Hcm Tactical will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hcm Tactical or Howard Capital Management sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hcm Tactical's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a HCM fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Hcm Tactical Growth has an alpha of 0.0998, implying that it can generate a 0.0998 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Hcm Tactical's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how hcm mutual fund's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Hcm Tactical Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Hcm Tactical Mutual Fund Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Hcm Tactical is 569.39. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 2.4 and standard deviation of 1.55. The mean deviation of Hcm Tactical Growth is currently at 1.07. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.26
σ
Overall volatility
1.55
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Hcm Tactical Mutual Fund Return Volatility

Hcm Tactical historical daily return volatility represents how much of Hcm Tactical fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund shows 1.5487% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7454% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Hcm Tactical Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Hcm Tactical or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Hcm Tactical may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to HCM's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Hcm Tactical and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Hcm Tactical fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
The fund adviser seeks to achieve its investment objective through investments in domestic equity securities of any market capitalization, investment companies and cash and cash equivalents and put and call options. When the fund is out of the market, it invests in cash and cash equivalents andor put options to hedge the funds equities and to reduce volatility. The fund may be invested from 0-100 percent in cash and cash equivalents andor put and call options and 0-100 percent in equities depending on the strength of the trend identified by the HCM-BuyLine.
Hcm Tactical's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on HCM Mutual Fund over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Hcm Tactical's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Hcm Tactical's volatility to invest better

Higher Hcm Tactical's fund volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Hcm Tactical Growth fund is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Hcm Tactical Growth fund volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Hcm Tactical Growth investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Hcm Tactical's fund can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Hcm Tactical's fund relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Hcm Tactical Investment Opportunity

Hcm Tactical Growth has a volatility of 1.55 and is 2.07 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 13 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Hcm Tactical. You can use Hcm Tactical Growth to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The mutual fund experiences a moderate upward volatility. Check odds of Hcm Tactical to be traded at $37.05 in 90 days.

Poor diversification

The correlation between Hcm Tactical Growth and DJI is 0.62 (i.e., Poor diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Hcm Tactical Growth and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Hcm Tactical Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hcm Tactical's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hcm Tactical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Hcm Tactical mutual fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential mutual funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Hcm Tactical Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Hcm Tactical as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Hcm Tactical's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Hcm Tactical's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Hcm Tactical Growth.

Other Information on Investing in HCM Mutual Fund

Hcm Tactical financial ratios help investors to determine whether HCM Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HCM with respect to the benefits of owning Hcm Tactical security.
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