First Resource Bank Stock Volatility

FRSB Stock  USD 15.93  0.00  0.00%   
At this point, First Resource is not too volatile. First Resource Bank secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.1, which denotes the company had a 0.1% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-four technical indicators for First Resource Bank, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm First Resource's Coefficient Of Variation of 940.18, mean deviation of 0.791, and Downside Deviation of 2.27 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.16%. Key indicators related to First Resource's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
First Resource OTC Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of First daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use First's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of First Resource volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as First Resource can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of First Resource at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of First Resource's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.

Moving together with First OTC Stock

  0.63USB-PH US BancorpPairCorr

Moving against First OTC Stock

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  0.66BKRKY Bank Rakyat Normal TradingPairCorr
  0.65PPERF Bank Mandiri PerseroPairCorr
  0.61BNPQY BNP Paribas SAPairCorr
  0.61BNPQF BNP Paribas SAPairCorr
  0.5TLK Telkom Indonesia TbkPairCorr
  0.46BKRKF PT Bank RakyatPairCorr

First Resource Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

First Resource's beta coefficient measures the volatility of First otc stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents First otc stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, First Resource's beta of -0.0175 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk First Resource otc stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. First Resource Bank currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.09 and Jensen Alpha of 0.15. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure First Resource's otc stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact First Resource's otc stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze First Resource Bank Demand Trend
Check current 90 days First Resource correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

First Beta

    
  -0.0175  
First standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  1.55  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by First Resource's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of First Resource's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in first otc stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in First Resource.

First Resource Bank OTC Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which First Resource otc price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with First Resource's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of First Resource's otc stock to predict their future moves. A otc that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A otc stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile otc is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of First Resource's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of otc volatility measures First Resource's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict First Resource's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the otc stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for First Resource's current market price. This means that the otc will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on First Resource's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. First Resource Bank Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

First Resource Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Resource Bank has a beta of -0.0175 . This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding First Resource are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, First Resource Bank is likely to outperform the market.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to First Resource or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that First Resource's price will be affected by overall otc stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a First otc's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
First Resource Bank has an alpha of 0.1527, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
First Resource's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how first otc stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a First Resource Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a otc's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

First Resource OTC Stock Risk Measures

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of First Resource is 963.73. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 2.41 and standard deviation of 1.55. The mean deviation of First Resource Bank is currently at 0.79. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.8
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
1.55
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

First Resource OTC Stock Return Volatility

First Resource historical daily return volatility represents how much of First Resource otc's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company inherits 1.5529% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8088% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About First Resource Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of First Resource or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of First Resource may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to First's beta indicator, it measures the risk of First Resource and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of First Resource fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
First Resources Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding for First Resource Bank that provides personal and business banking products and services to businesses and personal primarily in the southeastern area of Pennsylvania. The company was founded in 2005 and is based in Exton, Pennsylvania. First Resource operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.
First Resource's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on First OTC Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much First Resource's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize First Resource's volatility to invest better

Higher First Resource's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of First Resource Bank stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. First Resource Bank stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of First Resource Bank investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in First Resource's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of First Resource's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

First Resource Investment Opportunity

First Resource Bank has a volatility of 1.55 and is 1.91 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 13 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than First Resource. You can use First Resource Bank to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The otc stock experiences a normal downward fluctuation but is a risky buy. Check odds of First Resource to be traded at $15.77 in 90 days.

Good diversification

The correlation between First Resource Bank and DJI is -0.01 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Resource Bank and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

First Resource Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of First Resource's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in First Resource's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of First Resource otc stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential otc stocks, we recommend comparing similar otcs with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

First Resource Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against First Resource as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. First Resource's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, First Resource's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to First Resource Bank.

Complementary Tools for First OTC Stock analysis

When running First Resource's price analysis, check to measure First Resource's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Resource is operating at the current time. Most of First Resource's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Resource's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Resource's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Resource to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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