Ellington Financial Stock Volatility

EFC-PE Stock   25.56  0.00  0.00%   
At this point, Ellington Financial is very steady. Ellington Financial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0834, which denotes the company had a 0.0834% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-five technical indicators for Ellington Financial, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Ellington Financial's Downside Deviation of 0.2697, coefficient of variation of 747.46, and Mean Deviation of 0.1528 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0178%. Key indicators related to Ellington Financial's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Ellington Financial Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Ellington daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Ellington's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Ellington Financial volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Ellington Financial can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Ellington Financial at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Ellington Financial's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.

Moving together with Ellington Stock

  0.67MITT-PC AG Mortgage InvestmentPairCorr
  0.63LFT-PA Lument Finance TrustPairCorr
  0.76ACR-PC ACRES Commercial RealtyPairCorr

Moving against Ellington Stock

  0.66RPT Rithm Property Trust Symbol ChangePairCorr
  0.54RC-PC Ready CapitalPairCorr
  0.41RC-PE Ready CapitalPairCorr
  0.33SACH-PA Sachem Capital CorpPairCorr

Ellington Financial Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Ellington Financial's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Ellington stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Ellington stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Ellington Financial's beta of -0.0246 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Ellington Financial stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Ellington Financial exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.03 and kurtosis of 1.25. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ellington Financial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ellington Financial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Ellington Financial Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Ellington Financial correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Ellington Beta

    
  -0.0246  
Ellington standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  0.21  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Ellington Financial's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Ellington Financial's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in ellington stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Ellington Financial.

Ellington Financial Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Ellington Financial stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Ellington Financial's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Ellington Financial's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Ellington Financial's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Ellington Financial's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Ellington Financial's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Ellington Financial's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Ellington Financial's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
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Ellington Financial Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ellington Financial has a beta of -0.0246 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ellington Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ellington Financial is likely to outperform the market.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ellington Financial or Real Estate sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ellington Financial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ellington stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Ellington Financial has an alpha of 0.0204, implying that it can generate a 0.0204 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Ellington Financial's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how ellington stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an Ellington Financial Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Ellington Financial Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Ellington Financial is 1199.4. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.05 and standard deviation of 0.21. The mean deviation of Ellington Financial is currently at 0.14. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.8
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Ellington Financial Stock Return Volatility

Ellington Financial historical daily return volatility represents how much of Ellington Financial stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm assumes 0.2132% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8089% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Ellington Financial Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Ellington Financial or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Ellington Financial may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Ellington's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Ellington Financial and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Ellington Financial fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Selling And Marketing Expenses91.6 M96.2 M
Market Cap877.8 M921.7 M
Ellington Financial's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Ellington Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Ellington Financial's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Ellington Financial's volatility to invest better

Higher Ellington Financial's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Ellington Financial stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Ellington Financial stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Ellington Financial investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Ellington Financial's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Ellington Financial's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Ellington Financial Investment Opportunity

Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.81 and is 3.86 times more volatile than Ellington Financial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Ellington Financial is lower than 1 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Ellington Financial to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a normal downward trend, but the immediate impact on correlations cannot be determined at the moment . Check odds of Ellington Financial to be traded at 25.3 in 90 days.

Good diversification

The correlation between Ellington Financial and DJI is -0.09 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ellington Financial and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Ellington Financial Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ellington Financial's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ellington Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Ellington Financial stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Ellington Financial Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Ellington Financial as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Ellington Financial's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Ellington Financial's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Ellington Financial.

Complementary Tools for Ellington Stock analysis

When running Ellington Financial's price analysis, check to measure Ellington Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ellington Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Ellington Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ellington Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ellington Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ellington Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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