Db Gold Short Etf Volatility
DGZ Etf | USD 8.36 0.13 1.53% |
DB Gold Short retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0121, which denotes the etf had a -0.0121% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. DB Gold exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm DB Gold's Standard Deviation of 2.04, information ratio of (0.07), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04) to check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to DB Gold's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 90 Days Economic Sensitivity |
DB Gold Etf volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of DGZ daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use DGZ's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of DB Gold volatility.
DGZ |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with DB Gold. They may decide to buy additional shares of DB Gold at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.
Moving together with DGZ Etf
0.79 | ZSL | ProShares UltraShort | PairCorr |
0.84 | GLL | ProShares UltraShort Gold | PairCorr |
0.77 | GDXD | MicroSectors Gold Miners | PairCorr |
0.65 | DZZ | DB Gold Double | PairCorr |
0.83 | DULL | MicroSectors Gold | PairCorr |
Moving against DGZ Etf
0.46 | VWO | Vanguard FTSE Emerging | PairCorr |
0.41 | SPY | SPDR SP 500 Aggressive Push | PairCorr |
0.41 | IVV | iShares Core SP | PairCorr |
0.41 | VUG | Vanguard Growth Index | PairCorr |
0.38 | VTI | Vanguard Total Stock | PairCorr |
0.37 | DGLDF | VelocityShares 3x Inverse | PairCorr |
0.37 | VO | Vanguard Mid Cap | PairCorr |
0.33 | VTV | Vanguard Value Index Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
DB Gold Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
DB Gold's beta coefficient measures the volatility of DGZ etf compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents DGZ etf's returns against your selected market. In other words, DB Gold's beta of 0.31 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk DB Gold etf can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. DB Gold Short exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.15 and kurtosis of 0.0. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure DB Gold's etf risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact DB Gold's etf price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze DB Gold Short Demand TrendCheck current 90 days DB Gold correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)DGZ Beta |
DGZ standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 2.09 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by DB Gold's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of DB Gold's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in dgz etf tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in DB Gold.
DB Gold Short Etf Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which DB Gold etf price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with DB Gold's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of DB Gold's etf to predict their future moves. A etf that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A etf with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile etf is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of DB Gold's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of etf volatility measures DB Gold's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict DB Gold's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the etf.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for DB Gold's current market price. This means that the etf will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on DB Gold's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. DB Gold Short Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
DB Gold Projected Return Density Against Market
Considering the 90-day investment horizon DB Gold has a beta of 0.3112 suggesting as returns on the market go up, DB Gold average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding DB Gold Short will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to DB Gold or Deutsche Bank AG sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that DB Gold's price will be affected by overall etf market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a DGZ etf's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
DB Gold Short has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
Returns |
What Drives a DB Gold Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a etf's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.DB Gold Etf Risk Measures
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of DB Gold is -8263.26. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 4.37 and standard deviation of 2.09. The mean deviation of DB Gold Short is currently at 1.61. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
DB Gold Etf Return Volatility
DB Gold historical daily return volatility represents how much of DB Gold etf's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The ETF has volatility of 2.0901% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7777% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
Timeline |
About DB Gold Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of DB Gold or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of DB Gold may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to DGZ's beta indicator, it measures the risk of DB Gold and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of DB Gold fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.The index is intended to reflect changes in the market value of certain gold futures contracts and is comprised of a single unfunded gold futures contract. DB Gold is traded on NYSEARCA Exchange in the United States.
DB Gold's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on DGZ Etf over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much DB Gold's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize DB Gold's volatility to invest better
Higher DB Gold's etf volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of DB Gold Short etf is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. DB Gold Short etf volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of DB Gold Short investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in DB Gold's etf can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of DB Gold's etf relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
DB Gold Investment Opportunity
DB Gold Short has a volatility of 2.09 and is 2.68 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 18 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than DB Gold. You can use DB Gold Short to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The etf experiences a somewhat bearish sentiment, but the market may correct it shortly. Check odds of DB Gold to be traded at $8.11 in 90 days.Average diversification
The correlation between DB Gold Short and DJI is 0.12 (i.e., Average diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding DB Gold Short and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
DB Gold Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of DB Gold's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DB Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of DB Gold etf's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.004 | |||
Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.04) | |||
Mean Deviation | 1.54 | |||
Coefficient Of Variation | (33,414) | |||
Standard Deviation | 2.04 | |||
Variance | 4.15 | |||
Information Ratio | (0.07) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential etfs, we recommend comparing similar etfs with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
DB Gold Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against DB Gold as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. DB Gold's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, DB Gold's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to DB Gold Short.
When determining whether DB Gold Short offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of DB Gold's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Db Gold Short Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Db Gold Short Etf: Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in DB Gold Short. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
The market value of DB Gold Short is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of DGZ that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of DB Gold's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is DB Gold's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because DB Gold's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect DB Gold's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between DB Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if DB Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, DB Gold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.