Conestoga Small Cap Fund Volatility

CCALX Fund  USD 85.81  0.44  0.52%   
Conestoga Small appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Conestoga Small Cap secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.22, which signifies that the fund had a 0.22% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Conestoga Small Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please makes use of Conestoga Small's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1387, mean deviation of 0.8401, and Downside Deviation of 0.9632 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Conestoga Small's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Conestoga Small Mutual Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Conestoga daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Conestoga's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Conestoga Small volatility.
  
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with Conestoga Small. They may decide to buy additional shares of Conestoga Small at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.

Moving together with Conestoga Mutual Fund

  0.89CMCMX Conestoga Micro CapPairCorr
  0.89CMIRX Conestoga Micro CapPairCorr
  0.96CCASX Conestoga Small CapPairCorr
  0.88CCMMX Conestoga Mid CapPairCorr
  0.88CCMAX Columbia Large CapPairCorr
  1.0CCSMX Conestoga Smid CapPairCorr
  1.0CCSGX Conestoga Smid CapPairCorr
  0.99VSGAX Vanguard Small CapPairCorr

Conestoga Small Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Conestoga Small's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Conestoga mutual fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Conestoga mutual fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, Conestoga Small's beta of 1.34 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Conestoga Small mutual fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Conestoga Small Cap has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of 0.15, Maximum Drawdown of 7.23 and kurtosis of 4.42. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Conestoga Small's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Conestoga Small's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Conestoga Small Cap Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Conestoga Small correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Conestoga Beta

    
  1.34  
Conestoga standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  1.17  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Conestoga Small's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Conestoga Small's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in conestoga mutual fund tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Conestoga Small.

Conestoga Small Cap Mutual Fund Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Conestoga Small fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Conestoga Small's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Conestoga Small's mutual fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A mutual fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Conestoga Small's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of fund volatility measures Conestoga Small's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Conestoga Small's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the mutual fund.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Conestoga Small's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Conestoga Small's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Conestoga Small Cap Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Conestoga Small Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.3421 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Conestoga Small will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Conestoga Small or Conestoga Capital Advisors sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Conestoga Small's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Conestoga fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Conestoga Small Cap has an alpha of 0.0208, implying that it can generate a 0.0208 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Conestoga Small's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how conestoga mutual fund's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Conestoga Small Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Conestoga Small Mutual Fund Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Conestoga Small is 452.08. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 1.36 and standard deviation of 1.17. The mean deviation of Conestoga Small Cap is currently at 0.82. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.74
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.34
σ
Overall volatility
1.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Conestoga Small Mutual Fund Return Volatility

Conestoga Small historical daily return volatility represents how much of Conestoga Small fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund shows 1.1656% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7309% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Conestoga Small Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Conestoga Small or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Conestoga Small may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Conestoga's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Conestoga Small and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Conestoga Small fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Under normal market circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities of small-cap companies. Equity securities include American depositary receipts , convertible securities, foreign and domestic common and preferred stocks, rights and warrants.
Conestoga Small's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Conestoga Mutual Fund over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Conestoga Small's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Conestoga Small's volatility to invest better

Higher Conestoga Small's fund volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Conestoga Small Cap fund is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Conestoga Small Cap fund volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Conestoga Small Cap investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Conestoga Small's fund can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Conestoga Small's fund relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Conestoga Small Investment Opportunity

Conestoga Small Cap has a volatility of 1.17 and is 1.6 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 10 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Conestoga Small. You can use Conestoga Small Cap to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The mutual fund experiences a moderate upward volatility. Check odds of Conestoga Small to be traded at $94.39 in 90 days.

Very poor diversification

The correlation between Conestoga Small Cap and DJI is 0.85 (i.e., Very poor diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Conestoga Small Cap and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Conestoga Small Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Conestoga Small's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Conestoga Small's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Conestoga Small mutual fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential mutual funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Conestoga Small Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Conestoga Small as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Conestoga Small's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Conestoga Small's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Conestoga Small Cap.

Other Information on Investing in Conestoga Mutual Fund

Conestoga Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Conestoga Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Conestoga with respect to the benefits of owning Conestoga Small security.
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