Bright Scholar Education Stock Volatility
| BEDU Stock | USD 1.85 0.02 1.09% |
Currently, Bright Scholar Education is unstable. Bright Scholar Education secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0021, which signifies that the company had a 0.0021% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Bright Scholar Education, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Bright Scholar's Mean Deviation of 2.5, risk adjusted performance of 0.0188, and Downside Deviation of 3.96 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0066%. Key indicators related to Bright Scholar's volatility include:
60 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 60 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Bright Scholar Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Bright daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Bright's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Bright Scholar volatility.
Bright |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Bright Scholar can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Bright Scholar at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Bright stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Bright Scholar's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving against Bright Stock
Bright Scholar Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Bright Scholar's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Bright stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Bright stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Bright Scholar's beta of -0.18 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Bright Scholar stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Bright Scholar Education shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Bright Scholar's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Bright Scholar's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Bright Scholar Education Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Bright Scholar correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Bright Beta |
Bright standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 3.21 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Bright Scholar's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Bright Scholar's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in bright stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Bright Scholar.
Bright Scholar Education Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Bright Scholar stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Bright Scholar's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Bright Scholar's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Bright Scholar's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Bright Scholar's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Bright Scholar's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Bright Scholar's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Bright Scholar's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Bright Scholar Education Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Bright Scholar Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Bright Scholar Education has a beta of -0.1807 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bright Scholar are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bright Scholar Education is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Bright Scholar or Diversified Consumer Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Bright Scholar's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Bright stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Bright Scholar Education has an alpha of 0.0608, implying that it can generate a 0.0608 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Bright Scholar Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Bright Scholar Stock Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Bright Scholar is 48646.33. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 10.29 and standard deviation of 3.21. The mean deviation of Bright Scholar Education is currently at 2.33. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Bright Scholar Stock Return Volatility
Bright Scholar historical daily return volatility represents how much of Bright Scholar stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 3.2082% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7777% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Bright Scholar Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Bright Scholar or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Bright Scholar may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Bright's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Bright Scholar and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Bright Scholar fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Market Cap | 221.8 M | 210.7 M |
Bright Scholar's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Bright Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Bright Scholar's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Bright Scholar's volatility to invest better
Higher Bright Scholar's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Bright Scholar Education stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Bright Scholar Education stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Bright Scholar Education investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Bright Scholar's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Bright Scholar's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Bright Scholar Investment Opportunity
Bright Scholar Education has a volatility of 3.21 and is 4.12 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 28 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Bright Scholar. You can use Bright Scholar Education to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of Bright Scholar to be traded at $2.04 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Bright Scholar Education and DJI is -0.04 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Bright Scholar Education and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Bright Scholar Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bright Scholar's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bright Scholar's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Bright Scholar stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0188 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.21) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.5 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.18 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.96 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 6943.78 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.4 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Bright Scholar Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Bright Scholar as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Bright Scholar's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Bright Scholar's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Bright Scholar Education.
Additional Tools for Bright Stock Analysis
When running Bright Scholar's price analysis, check to measure Bright Scholar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bright Scholar is operating at the current time. Most of Bright Scholar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bright Scholar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bright Scholar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bright Scholar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.