BOTSWANA BUILDING (Botswana) Volatility
| BBS-EQO Stock | 0.61 0.01 1.67% |
BOTSWANA BUILDING appears to be dangerous, given 3 months investment horizon. BOTSWANA BUILDING SOCIETY secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.21, which signifies that the company had a 0.21 % return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-three technical indicators for BOTSWANA BUILDING SOCIETY, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of BOTSWANA BUILDING's risk adjusted performance of 0.1765, and Mean Deviation of 0.587 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
BOTSWANA |
BOTSWANA BUILDING Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of BOTSWANA daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use BOTSWANA's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of BOTSWANA BUILDING volatility.
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as BOTSWANA BUILDING can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of BOTSWANA BUILDING at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase BOTSWANA stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of BOTSWANA BUILDING's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
BOTSWANA BUILDING Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
BOTSWANA BUILDING's beta coefficient measures the volatility of BOTSWANA stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents BOTSWANA stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, BOTSWANA BUILDING's beta of 0.23 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk BOTSWANA BUILDING stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. BOTSWANA BUILDING SOCIETY exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 5.37 and kurtosis of 28.69. BOTSWANA BUILDING SOCIETY is a potential penny stock. Although BOTSWANA BUILDING may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in BOTSWANA BUILDING SOCIETY. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on BOTSWANA instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze BOTSWANA BUILDING SOCIETY Demand TrendCheck current 90 days BOTSWANA BUILDING correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)BOTSWANA Beta |
BOTSWANA standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 1.56 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by BOTSWANA BUILDING's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of BOTSWANA BUILDING's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in botswana stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in BOTSWANA BUILDING.
BOTSWANA BUILDING SOCIETY Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which BOTSWANA BUILDING stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with BOTSWANA BUILDING's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of BOTSWANA BUILDING's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of BOTSWANA BUILDING's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures BOTSWANA BUILDING's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict BOTSWANA BUILDING's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for BOTSWANA BUILDING's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on BOTSWANA BUILDING's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. BOTSWANA BUILDING SOCIETY Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
BOTSWANA BUILDING Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BOTSWANA BUILDING has a beta of 0.2283 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BOTSWANA BUILDING average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BOTSWANA BUILDING SOCIETY will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to BOTSWANA BUILDING or BOTSWANA sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that BOTSWANA BUILDING's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a BOTSWANA stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
BOTSWANA BUILDING SOCIETY has an alpha of 0.3083, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a BOTSWANA BUILDING Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.BOTSWANA BUILDING Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of BOTSWANA BUILDING is 469.16. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 2.43 and standard deviation of 1.56. The mean deviation of BOTSWANA BUILDING SOCIETY is currently at 0.62. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.83
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.22 |
BOTSWANA BUILDING Stock Return Volatility
BOTSWANA BUILDING historical daily return volatility represents how much of BOTSWANA BUILDING stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm accepts 1.5604% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8512% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
BOTSWANA BUILDING Investment Opportunity
BOTSWANA BUILDING SOCIETY has a volatility of 1.56 and is 1.84 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 13 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than BOTSWANA BUILDING. You can use BOTSWANA BUILDING SOCIETY to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of BOTSWANA BUILDING to be traded at 0.671 in 90 days.Average diversification
The correlation between BOTSWANA BUILDING SOCIETY and DJI is 0.13 (i.e., Average diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding BOTSWANA BUILDING SOCIETY and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
BOTSWANA BUILDING Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of BOTSWANA BUILDING's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BOTSWANA BUILDING's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of BOTSWANA BUILDING stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1765 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.33 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.587 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 484.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Variance | 2.29 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2168 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
BOTSWANA BUILDING Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against BOTSWANA BUILDING as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. BOTSWANA BUILDING's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, BOTSWANA BUILDING's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to BOTSWANA BUILDING SOCIETY.