Ascletis Pharma Stock Volatility

ASCLF Stock  USD 1.04  0.12  13.04%   
Ascletis Pharma is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Ascletis Pharma secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which signifies that the company had a 0.16 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We were able to break down and interpolate twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 3.53% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Ascletis Pharma risk adjusted performance of 0.1499, and Mean Deviation of 6.3 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Key indicators related to Ascletis Pharma's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
Ascletis Pharma Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Ascletis daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Ascletis's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Ascletis Pharma volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Ascletis Pharma can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Ascletis Pharma at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Ascletis Pharma's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.

Moving together with Ascletis Pink Sheet

  0.73VRTX Vertex PharmaceuticalsPairCorr

Moving against Ascletis Pink Sheet

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  0.66TLK Telkom Indonesia TbkPairCorr
  0.57CMXHF CSL LimitedPairCorr
  0.52PTAIY Astra International TbkPairCorr

Ascletis Pharma Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Ascletis Pharma's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Ascletis pink sheet compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Ascletis pink sheet's returns against your selected market. In other words, Ascletis Pharma's beta of -3.8 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Ascletis Pharma pink sheet can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Ascletis Pharma is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Ascletis Pharma is a potential penny stock. Although Ascletis Pharma may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny pink sheets are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Ascletis Pharma. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Ascletis instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny pink sheets that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Ascletis Pharma Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Ascletis Pharma correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Ascletis Beta

    
  -3.8  
Ascletis standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  21.81  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Ascletis Pharma's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Ascletis Pharma's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in ascletis pink sheet tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Ascletis Pharma.

Ascletis Pharma Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Ascletis Pharma pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Ascletis Pharma's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Ascletis Pharma's pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Ascletis Pharma's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of pink sheet volatility measures Ascletis Pharma's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Ascletis Pharma's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Ascletis Pharma's current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Ascletis Pharma's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Ascletis Pharma Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Ascletis Pharma Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon Ascletis Pharma has a beta of -3.8032 . This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Ascletis Pharma are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Ascletis Pharma is expected to outperform its benchmark.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ascletis Pharma or Healthcare sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ascletis Pharma's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ascletis pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Ascletis Pharma has an alpha of 3.077, implying that it can generate a 3.08 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Ascletis Pharma's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how ascletis pink sheet's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an Ascletis Pharma Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Ascletis Pharma Pink Sheet Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Ascletis Pharma is 617.44. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 475.7 and standard deviation of 21.81. The mean deviation of Ascletis Pharma is currently at 6.58. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.89
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
3.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-3.8
σ
Overall volatility
21.81
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Ascletis Pharma Pink Sheet Return Volatility

Ascletis Pharma historical daily return volatility represents how much of Ascletis Pharma pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 21.8105% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8516% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Ascletis Pharma Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Ascletis Pharma or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Ascletis Pharma may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Ascletis's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Ascletis Pharma and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Ascletis Pharma fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Ascletis Pharma Inc., a biotechnology company, engages in the research and development, manufacture, marketing, and sale of pharmaceutical products in Mainland China and internationally. In addition, the company is developing ASC40 to treat recurrent glioblastoma, drug resistant breast cancer, and KRAS mutant non-small cell lung cancer ASC61 and ASC63 for advanced solid tumors ASC60 to treat solid tumors and ASC40 for the treatment of acne, Ascletis Pharma Inc. was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, the Peoples Republic of China. Ascletis Pharma operates under Biotechnology classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 266 people.
Ascletis Pharma's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Ascletis Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Ascletis Pharma's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Ascletis Pharma's volatility to invest better

Higher Ascletis Pharma's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Ascletis Pharma stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Ascletis Pharma stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Ascletis Pharma investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Ascletis Pharma's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Ascletis Pharma's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Ascletis Pharma Investment Opportunity

Ascletis Pharma has a volatility of 21.81 and is 25.66 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Ascletis Pharma is higher than 96 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Ascletis Pharma to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The pink sheet experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. The trend is possibly hyped up. Check odds of Ascletis Pharma to be traded at $1.3 in 90 days.

Good diversification

The correlation between Ascletis Pharma and DJI is -0.16 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ascletis Pharma and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Ascletis Pharma Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ascletis Pharma's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ascletis Pharma's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Ascletis Pharma pink sheet's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential pink sheets, we recommend comparing similar pink sheets with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Ascletis Pharma Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Ascletis Pharma as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Ascletis Pharma's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Ascletis Pharma's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Ascletis Pharma.

Complementary Tools for Ascletis Pink Sheet analysis

When running Ascletis Pharma's price analysis, check to measure Ascletis Pharma's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ascletis Pharma is operating at the current time. Most of Ascletis Pharma's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ascletis Pharma's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ascletis Pharma's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ascletis Pharma to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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