Barrick Gold Corp Stock Volatility
ABX Stock | CAD 24.52 0.06 0.24% |
Barrick Gold Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.058, which signifies that the company had a -0.058% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Barrick Gold Corp exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Barrick Gold's Mean Deviation of 1.46, standard deviation of 1.82, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Barrick Gold's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Barrick Gold Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Barrick daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Barrick's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Barrick Gold volatility.
Barrick |
ESG Sustainability
While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, Barrick Gold's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Barrick Gold's managers and investors.Environment Score | Governance Score | Social Score |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Barrick Gold can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Barrick Gold at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Barrick stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Barrick Gold's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with Barrick Stock
Moving against Barrick Stock
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0.47 | WMT | Walmart Inc CDR | PairCorr |
0.46 | GOOG | Alphabet CDR | PairCorr |
0.31 | NVDA | NVIDIA CDR | PairCorr |
Barrick Gold Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Barrick Gold's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Barrick stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Barrick stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Barrick Gold's beta of -0.0147 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Barrick Gold stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Barrick Gold Corp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.2 and kurtosis of 0.13. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Barrick Gold's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Barrick Gold's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Barrick Gold Corp Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Barrick Gold correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Barrick Beta |
Barrick standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 1.8 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Barrick Gold's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Barrick Gold's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in barrick stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Barrick Gold.
Barrick Gold Corp Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Barrick Gold stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Barrick Gold's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Barrick Gold's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Barrick Gold's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Barrick Gold's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Barrick Gold's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Barrick Gold's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Barrick Gold's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Barrick Gold Corp Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Barrick Gold Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Barrick Gold Corp has a beta of -0.0147 . This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Barrick Gold are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Barrick Gold Corp is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Barrick Gold or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Barrick Gold's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Barrick stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Barrick Gold Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
Returns |
What Drives a Barrick Gold Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Barrick Gold Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Barrick Gold is -1723.32. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 3.26 and standard deviation of 1.8. The mean deviation of Barrick Gold Corp is currently at 1.43. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Barrick Gold Stock Return Volatility
Barrick Gold historical daily return volatility represents how much of Barrick Gold stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm assumes 1.8043% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7444% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
Timeline |
About Barrick Gold Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Barrick Gold or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Barrick Gold may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Barrick's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Barrick Gold and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Barrick Gold fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Selling And Marketing Expenses | 361 M | 379.1 M | |
Market Cap | 14.2 B | 7.3 B |
Barrick Gold's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Barrick Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Barrick Gold's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Barrick Gold's volatility to invest better
Higher Barrick Gold's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Barrick Gold Corp stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Barrick Gold Corp stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Barrick Gold Corp investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Barrick Gold's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Barrick Gold's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Barrick Gold Investment Opportunity
Barrick Gold Corp has a volatility of 1.8 and is 2.43 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 16 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Barrick Gold. You can use Barrick Gold Corp to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a normal downward trend and little activity. Check odds of Barrick Gold to be traded at C$24.27 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Barrick Gold Corp and DJI is -0.01 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Barrick Gold Corp and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Barrick Gold Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Barrick Gold's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Barrick Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Barrick Gold stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 10.31 | |||
Mean Deviation | 1.46 | |||
Coefficient Of Variation | (1,286) | |||
Standard Deviation | 1.82 | |||
Variance | 3.31 | |||
Information Ratio | (0.15) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Barrick Gold Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Barrick Gold as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Barrick Gold's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Barrick Gold's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Barrick Gold Corp.
When determining whether Barrick Gold Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Barrick Gold's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Barrick Gold's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Barrick Stock, refer to the following important reports: Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Barrick Gold Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.