ABF Thailand (Thailand) Volatility
| ABFTH Etf | 1,330 0.00 0.00% |
At this point, ABF Thailand is very steady. ABF Thailand secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which signifies that the etf had a 0.11% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found sixteen technical indicators for The ABF Thailand, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm ABF Thailand's Coefficient Of Variation of 974.35, mean deviation of 0.2804, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0852 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.12%.
ABF |
ABF Thailand Etf volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of ABF daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use ABF's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of ABF Thailand volatility.
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with ABF Thailand. They may decide to buy additional shares of ABF Thailand at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.
Moving against ABF Etf
| 0.84 | BMSCITH | BCAP MSCI Thailand | PairCorr |
| 0.79 | ENGY | MTrack Energy ETF | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | BSET100 | BCAP SET100 | PairCorr |
| 0.69 | TDEX | ThaiDex SET50 Exchange | PairCorr |
| 0.56 | 1DIV | ThaiDEX SET High | PairCorr |
| 0.32 | CHINA | WISE KTAM CSI | PairCorr |
ABF Thailand Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
ABF Thailand's beta coefficient measures the volatility of ABF etf compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents ABF etf's returns against your selected market. In other words, ABF Thailand's beta of -0.19 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk ABF Thailand etf can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. The ABF Thailand exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 7.11 and kurtosis of 55.34. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure ABF Thailand's etf risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact ABF Thailand's etf price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze ABF Thailand Demand TrendCheck current 90 days ABF Thailand correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)ABF Beta |
ABF standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 1.09 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by ABF Thailand's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of ABF Thailand's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in abf etf tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in ABF Thailand.
ABF Thailand Etf Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which ABF Thailand etf price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with ABF Thailand's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of ABF Thailand's etf to predict their future moves. A etf that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A etf with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile etf is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of ABF Thailand's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of etf volatility measures ABF Thailand's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict ABF Thailand's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the etf.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for ABF Thailand's current market price. This means that the etf will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on ABF Thailand's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. ABF Thailand Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
ABF Thailand Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon The ABF Thailand has a beta of -0.1905 . This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ABF Thailand are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, The ABF Thailand is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ABF Thailand or ABF sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ABF Thailand's price will be affected by overall etf market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ABF etf's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
The ABF Thailand has an alpha of 0.0985, implying that it can generate a 0.0985 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an ABF Thailand Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a etf's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.ABF Thailand Etf Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of ABF Thailand is 913.69. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 1.19 and standard deviation of 1.09. The mean deviation of The ABF Thailand is currently at 0.32. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.81
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
ABF Thailand Etf Return Volatility
ABF Thailand historical daily return volatility represents how much of ABF Thailand etf's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The ETF accepts 1.0921% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8043% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
ABF Thailand Investment Opportunity
The ABF Thailand has a volatility of 1.09 and is 1.36 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 9 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than ABF Thailand. You can use The ABF Thailand to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The etf experiences a normal downward trend, but the immediate impact on correlations cannot be determined at the moment . Check odds of ABF Thailand to be traded at 1316.7 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between The ABF Thailand and DJI is -0.15 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding The ABF Thailand and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
ABF Thailand Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of ABF Thailand's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ABF Thailand's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of ABF Thailand etf's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0852 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.49) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.2804 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 974.35 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Variance | 1.05 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0752 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential etfs, we recommend comparing similar etfs with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
ABF Thailand Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against ABF Thailand as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. ABF Thailand's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, ABF Thailand's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to The ABF Thailand.