Techfast Holdings (Malaysia) Volatility

0084 Stock   0.07  0.01  7.14%   
Techfast Holdings appears to be out of control, given 3 months investment horizon. Techfast Holdings Bhd owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0503, which indicates the firm had a 0.0503 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Techfast Holdings Bhd, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Techfast Holdings' Semi Deviation of 3.95, coefficient of variation of 20688.68, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0125 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Techfast Holdings' volatility include:
570 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
570 Days Economic Sensitivity
Techfast Holdings Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Techfast daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Techfast's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Techfast Holdings volatility.
  
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Techfast Holdings at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Techfast stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.

Moving against Techfast Stock

  0.461066 RHB Bank BhdPairCorr
  0.446888 Axiata Group BhdPairCorr

Techfast Holdings Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Techfast Holdings' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Techfast stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Techfast stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Techfast Holdings's beta of -0.6 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Techfast Holdings stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Techfast Holdings Bhd shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Techfast Holdings Bhd is a penny stock. Although Techfast Holdings may be in fact a good investment, many penny stocks are subject to artificial price hype. Make sure you completely understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Techfast Holdings Bhd. We encourage investors to look for signals such as message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, email spams, sudden volume upswings, and other similar hype indicators. We also encourage traders to check biographies and work history of company officers before investing in instruments with high volatility. You can indeed make money on Techfast instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Techfast Holdings Bhd Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Techfast Holdings correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Techfast Beta

    
  -0.6  
Techfast standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  5.31  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Techfast Holdings's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Techfast Holdings' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in techfast stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Techfast Holdings.

Techfast Holdings Bhd Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Techfast Holdings stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Techfast Holdings' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Techfast Holdings' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Techfast Holdings' volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Techfast Holdings' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Techfast Holdings' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Techfast Holdings' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Techfast Holdings' to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Techfast Holdings Bhd Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Techfast Holdings Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Techfast Holdings Bhd has a beta of -0.5973 . This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Techfast Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Techfast Holdings Bhd is likely to outperform the market.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Techfast Holdings or Energy sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Techfast Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Techfast stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Techfast Holdings Bhd has an alpha of 0.0274, implying that it can generate a 0.0274 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Techfast Holdings' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how techfast stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Techfast Holdings Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Techfast Holdings Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Techfast Holdings is 1989.97. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 28.14 and standard deviation of 5.31. The mean deviation of Techfast Holdings Bhd is currently at 3.15. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.84
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.6
σ
Overall volatility
5.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.0008

Techfast Holdings Stock Return Volatility

Techfast Holdings historical daily return volatility represents how much of Techfast Holdings stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company accepts 5.305% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8496% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Techfast Holdings Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Techfast Holdings or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Techfast Holdings may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Techfast's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Techfast Holdings and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Techfast Holdings fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.

3 ways to utilize Techfast Holdings' volatility to invest better

Higher Techfast Holdings' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Techfast Holdings Bhd stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Techfast Holdings Bhd stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Techfast Holdings Bhd investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Techfast Holdings' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Techfast Holdings' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Techfast Holdings Investment Opportunity

Techfast Holdings Bhd has a volatility of 5.31 and is 6.25 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Techfast Holdings Bhd is lower than 47 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Techfast Holdings Bhd to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of Techfast Holdings to be traded at 0.0618 in 90 days.

Good diversification

The correlation between Techfast Holdings Bhd and DJI is -0.09 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Techfast Holdings Bhd and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Techfast Holdings Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Techfast Holdings' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Techfast Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Techfast Holdings stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Techfast Holdings Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Techfast Holdings as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Techfast Holdings' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Techfast Holdings' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Techfast Holdings Bhd.

Other Information on Investing in Techfast Stock

Techfast Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Techfast Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Techfast with respect to the benefits of owning Techfast Holdings security.