Source Energy Valuation

SHLE Stock  CAD 10.21  0.08  0.79%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Source Energy Services has a current Real Value of C$8.58 per share. The regular price of the company is C$10.21. Our model measures the value of Source Energy Services from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 13.55 M, operating margin of 0.02 %, and Return On Equity of 0.053 as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
10.21
Please note that Source Energy's price fluctuation is somewhat reliable at this time. Calculation of the real value of Source Energy Services is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Source Energy's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Source Energy is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Source Stock. However, Source Energy's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  10.21 Real  8.58 Hype  10.23 Naive  11.16
The intrinsic value of Source Energy's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Source Energy's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
8.58
Real Value
11.91
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Source Energy Services helps investors to forecast how Source stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Source Energy more accurately as focusing exclusively on Source Energy's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.8310.6813.53
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.9010.2313.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
7.8311.1614.49
Details

Source Energy Total Value Analysis

Source Energy Services is at this time estimated to have takeover price of 380.45 M with market capitalization of 138.3 M, debt of 8.09 M, and cash on hands of 4.57 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Source Energy fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
380.45 M
138.3 M
8.09 M
4.57 M

Source Energy Investor Information

About 15.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.73. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Source Energy Services last dividend was issued on the 5th of January 2021. The entity had 1:12 split on the 5th of January 2021. Based on the key measurements obtained from Source Energy's financial statements, Source Energy Services is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in April.

Source Energy Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Source Energy has an asset utilization ratio of 112.66 percent. This suggests that the Company is making C$1.13 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Source Energy Services is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Source Energy Ownership Allocation

The market capitalization of Source Energy is C$138.3 Million. Source Energy Services has 11.1 % of its outstanding shares held by insiders and 14.59 % owned by institutional holders. Please take into account that even companies with profitable outlook can generate negative future returns on their equity. If the true value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able generate positive returns on investment in the long run.

Source Energy Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 673.95 M. Net Income was 9.51 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 127.34 M.

About Source Energy Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Source Energy Services. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Source Energy Services based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Source Energy's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Source Energy's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Source Energy. We calculate exposure to Source Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Source Energy's related companies.
Source Energy Services Ltd. produces, supplies, and distributes Northern White frac sand used primarily in oil and gas exploration and production in Western Canada and the United States. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada. SOURCE ENERGY operates under Oil Gas Equipment Services classification in Canada and is traded on Toronto Stock Exchange. It employs 382 people.

Other Information on Investing in Source Stock

Source Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Source Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Source with respect to the benefits of owning Source Energy security.