Obsidian Energy Valuation
| OBE Stock | CAD 7.91 0.05 0.64% |
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Obsidian Energy holds a recent Real Value of C$6.64 per share. The prevailing price of the company is C$7.91. Our model determines the value of Obsidian Energy from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Operating Margin of (1.92) %, shares outstanding of 73.68 M, and Return On Equity of -0.13 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
Please note that Obsidian Energy's price fluctuation is slightly risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of Obsidian Energy is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Obsidian Energy's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Obsidian Energy is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Obsidian Stock. However, Obsidian Energy's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 7.91 | Real 6.64 | Hype 7.94 | Naive 7.7 |
The intrinsic value of Obsidian Energy's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Obsidian Energy's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Obsidian Energy helps investors to forecast how Obsidian stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Obsidian Energy more accurately as focusing exclusively on Obsidian Energy's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Obsidian Energy Total Value Analysis
Obsidian Energy is now forecasted to have takeover price of 921.66 M with market capitalization of 582.85 M, debt of 3.5 M, and cash on hands of 9.2 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Obsidian Energy fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company| Takeover Price | Market Cap | Debt Obligations | Cash |
921.66 M | 582.85 M | 3.5 M | 9.2 M |
Obsidian Energy Investor Information
About 25.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.41. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Obsidian Energy has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.09. The entity recorded a loss per share of 2.67. The firm last dividend was issued on the 28th of September 2015. Obsidian Energy had 1:7 split on the 10th of June 2019. Based on the key measurements obtained from Obsidian Energy's financial statements, Obsidian Energy is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high risk of going through financial distress in April.Obsidian Energy Asset Utilization
The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Obsidian Energy has an asset utilization ratio of 39.62 percent. This suggests that the Company is making C$0.4 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Obsidian Energy is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.Obsidian Energy Ownership Allocation
Obsidian Energy owns a total of 73.68 Million outstanding shares. Roughly 71.9 pct. of Obsidian Energy outstanding shares are held by general public with 2.68 % owned by insiders and only 25.42 (%) by third-party entities. Please note that no matter how many assets the company maintains, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.Obsidian Energy Profitability Analysis
The company reported the revenue of 837.7 M. Net Loss for the year was (202.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 458.1 M.About Obsidian Energy Valuation
We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Obsidian Energy. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Obsidian Energy based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Obsidian Energy's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Obsidian Energy's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Obsidian Energy. We calculate exposure to Obsidian Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Obsidian Energy's related companies.Obsidian Energy Ltd. primarily focuses on the exploration, production, and development of oil and natural gas properties in the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin. The company was formerly known as Penn West Petroleum Ltd. and changed its name to Obsidian Energy Ltd. in June 2017. OBSIDIAN ENERGY operates under Oil Gas EP classification in Canada and is traded on Toronto Stock Exchange. It employs 173 people.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Obsidian Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. To learn how to invest in Obsidian Stock, please use our How to Invest in Obsidian Energy guide.You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.