Mercury Systems Valuation

MRCY Stock  USD 44.05  0.57  1.31%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Mercury Systems secures a last-minute Real Value of $39.54 per share. The latest price of the firm is $44.05. Our model forecasts the value of Mercury Systems from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of -0.061, current valuation of 2.94 B, and Profit Margin of (0.10) % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Mercury Systems' valuation include:
Price Book
1.7329
Enterprise Value
2.9 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
30.7857
Price Sales
2.9342
Forward PE
156.25
Overvalued
Today
44.05
Please note that Mercury Systems' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Mercury Systems is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Mercury Systems' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Mercury Systems is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Mercury Stock. However, Mercury Systems' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  44.05 Real  39.54 Target  34.25 Hype  44.0 Naive  40.59
The intrinsic value of Mercury Systems' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Mercury Systems' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
39.54
Real Value
48.46
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Mercury Systems helps investors to forecast how Mercury stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Mercury Systems more accurately as focusing exclusively on Mercury Systems' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.020.060.14
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.7544.0047.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
37.3440.5943.83
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
31.1734.2538.02
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Mercury Systems' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Mercury Systems' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Mercury Systems' closest peers.

Mercury Systems Cash

217.98 Million

Mercury Valuation Trend

Analysing the historical paterns of Mercury Systems' enterprise value and its market capitalization is a good way to estimate and gauge the value of Mercury Systems over time and is usually enough for investors to make rational market timing decisions.

Mercury Revenue by Product

Mercury Systems Total Value Analysis

Mercury Systems is now forecasted to have valuation of 2.94 B with market capitalization of 2.59 B, debt of 654.08 M, and cash on hands of 65.65 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Mercury Systems fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
2.94 B
2.59 B
654.08 M
65.65 M

Mercury Systems Investor Information

About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.73. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Mercury Systems has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.65. The entity recorded a loss per share of 1.54. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Mercury Systems had 2:1 split on the 21st of December 1999. Based on the key indicators related to Mercury Systems' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Mercury Systems is not in a good financial situation at the present time. It has a very high chance of going through financial crunch in March.

Mercury Systems Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Mercury Systems has an asset utilization ratio of 35.11 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.35 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Mercury Systems is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Mercury Systems Ownership Allocation

The majority of Mercury Systems outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These third-party entities are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to shop for positions in Mercury Systems to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional holders are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Mercury Systems. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Mercury Systems as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company.

Mercury Systems Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 835.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (137.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 226.47 M.

About Mercury Systems Valuation

Our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Mercury Systems. We calculate exposure to Mercury Systems's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Mercury Systems's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit225.3 M183.7 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.05)(0.05)
Operating Profit Margin(0.02)(0.02)
Net Loss(0.03)(0.03)
Gross Profit Margin 0.33  0.58 

Mercury Systems Quarterly Retained Earnings

184.69 Million

Mercury Systems Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding57.7 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.347
Forward Price Earnings156.25

Mercury Systems Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Mercury Systems and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Mercury we look at many different elements of the entity such as Mercury's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Mercury Systems, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Mercury Systems' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Mercury Systems' worth.

Additional Tools for Mercury Stock Analysis

When running Mercury Systems' price analysis, check to measure Mercury Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mercury Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Mercury Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mercury Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mercury Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mercury Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.