MEG Energy Valuation

MEG Stock  CAD 24.85  0.02  0.08%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. MEG Energy Corp secures a last-minute Real Value of C$23.81 per share. The latest price of the firm is C$24.85. Our model forecasts the value of MEG Energy Corp from evaluating the firm fundamentals such as return on equity of 0.11, and Profit Margin of 0.1 % as well as inspecting its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
24.85
Please note that MEG Energy's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of MEG Energy Corp is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing MEG Energy's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since MEG Energy is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of MEG Stock. However, MEG Energy's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  24.85 Real  23.81 Hype  24.86 Naive  26.51
The intrinsic value of MEG Energy's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence MEG Energy's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
23.81
Real Value
26.28
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of MEG Energy Corp helps investors to forecast how MEG stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of MEG Energy more accurately as focusing exclusively on MEG Energy's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.3923.0025.62
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.3924.8627.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
24.0426.5128.98
Details

MEG Energy Total Value Analysis

MEG Energy Corp is now forecasted to have takeover price of 7.36 B with market capitalization of 6.37 B, debt of 2.19 B, and cash on hands of 0. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the MEG Energy fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company

MEG Energy Investor Information

About 46.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.41. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MEG Energy Corp last dividend was issued on the 20th of March 2025. Based on the key measurements obtained from MEG Energy's financial statements, MEG Energy Corp is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high risk of going through financial distress in April.

MEG Energy Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. MEG Energy has an asset utilization ratio of 85.11 percent. This suggests that the Company is making C$0.85 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that MEG Energy Corp is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

MEG Energy Ownership Allocation

MEG Energy Corp maintains a total of 256.64 Million outstanding shares. 30% of MEG Energy outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. Institutional investors are typically referred to investors that purchase positions in a given stock to benefit from reduced commissions. Thus, institutional investors are subject to different rules and regulations than regular investors. Please look out for any change in current institutional holding as this could mean something significant has changed at the company or is about to change. Please note that no matter how many assets the company has, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

MEG Energy Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 5.74 B. Net Income was 507 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.51 B.

About MEG Energy Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of MEG Energy Corp. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of MEG Energy Corp based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing MEG Energy's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of MEG Energy's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of MEG Energy. We calculate exposure to MEG Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of MEG Energy's related companies.
MEG Energy Corp., an energy company, focuses on sustainable in situ thermal oil production in the southern Athabasca region of Alberta, Canada. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada. MEG ENERGY operates under Oil Gas EP classification in Canada and is traded on Toronto Stock Exchange. It employs 449 people.

Other Information on Investing in MEG Stock

MEG Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether MEG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MEG with respect to the benefits of owning MEG Energy security.