GrainCorp Valuation

GRCLF Stock  USD 4.39  0.23  5.53%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. GrainCorp Limited retains a regular Real Value of $3.76 per share. The prevalent price of the firm is $4.39. Our model calculates the value of GrainCorp Limited from evaluating the firm fundamentals such as return on equity of 0.29, and Return On Asset of 0.2 as well as inspecting its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
4.39
Please note that GrainCorp's price fluctuation is risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of GrainCorp Limited is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing GrainCorp's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the GrainCorp pink sheet is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of GrainCorp Limited. Since GrainCorp is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of GrainCorp Pink Sheet. However, GrainCorp's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  4.39 Real  3.76 Hype  4.39 Naive  4.3
The real value of GrainCorp Pink Sheet, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of GrainCorp Limited Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on GrainCorp's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of GrainCorp's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
3.76
Real Value
9.26
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of GrainCorp Limited helps investors to forecast how GrainCorp pink sheet's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of GrainCorp more accurately as focusing exclusively on GrainCorp's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.934.394.85
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.224.399.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.094.309.79
Details

GrainCorp Total Value Analysis

GrainCorp Limited is currently expected to have takeover price of 1.75 B with market capitalization of 1.13 B, debt of 150 M, and cash on hands of 311 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the GrainCorp fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
1.75 B
1.13 B
150 M
311 M

GrainCorp Investor Information

About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.22. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. GrainCorp Limited last dividend was issued on the 29th of November 2022. Based on the analysis of GrainCorp's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, GrainCorp Limited is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in April.

GrainCorp Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. GrainCorp has an asset utilization ratio of 234.8 percent. This implies that the Company is making $2.35 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that GrainCorp Limited is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

GrainCorp Ownership Allocation

GrainCorp Limited has a total of 223.65 Million outstanding shares. 30% of GrainCorp Limited outstanding shares are owned by outside corporations. Institutional investors are typically referred to investors that purchase positions in a given stock to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to different rules and regulations than regular investors. Please look out for any change in current institutional holding as this could mean something significant has changed at the company or is about to change. Please note that no matter how many assets the company holds, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

GrainCorp Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 7.85 B. Net Income was 380.4 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.63 B.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates GrainCorp's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in GrainCorp and how it compares across the competition.

About GrainCorp Valuation

The pink sheet valuation mechanism determines GrainCorp's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of GrainCorp. We calculate exposure to GrainCorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of GrainCorp's related companies.
GrainCorp Limited operates as an agribusiness and processing company in Australasia, Asia, North America, Europe, the Middle East, North Africa, and internationally. GrainCorp Limited was founded in 1916 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia. Graincorp operates under Farm Products classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 2380 people.

8 Steps to conduct GrainCorp's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates GrainCorp's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct GrainCorp's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain GrainCorp's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine GrainCorp's revenue streams: Identify GrainCorp's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research GrainCorp's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish GrainCorp's growth potential: Evaluate GrainCorp's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine GrainCorp's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate GrainCorp's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

GrainCorp Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as GrainCorp does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding223.7 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.53
Forward Price Earnings9.4251
Retained Earnings915.1 M

Complementary Tools for GrainCorp Pink Sheet analysis

When running GrainCorp's price analysis, check to measure GrainCorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GrainCorp is operating at the current time. Most of GrainCorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GrainCorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GrainCorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GrainCorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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