Fastenal Valuation

FAST Stock  USD 83.71  0.39  0.46%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Fastenal shows a prevailing Real Value of $76.33 per share. The current price of the firm is $83.71. Our model computes the value of Fastenal from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 572.89 M, current valuation of 48.21 B, and Profit Margin of 0.15 % as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Fastenal's valuation include:
Price Book
13.3372
Enterprise Value
48.2 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
28.3661
Price Sales
6.4411
Forward PE
38.0228
Overvalued
Today
83.71
Please note that Fastenal's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Fastenal is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Fastenal's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Fastenal's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 83.71, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  83.71 Real  76.33 Target  59.33 Hype  83.45 Naive  83.95
The intrinsic value of Fastenal's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Fastenal's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
76.33
Real Value
92.08
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Fastenal Company helps investors to forecast how Fastenal stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Fastenal more accurately as focusing exclusively on Fastenal's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.500.510.52
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
81.7183.4585.19
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
1.091.111.14
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
53.9959.3365.86
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Fastenal's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Fastenal's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Fastenal's closest peers.

Fastenal Cash

232.37 Million

Fastenal Valuation Trend

Fastenal's real value is important for investors to make better decisions and a more accurate overall view of Fastenal's financial worth over time. Using both Fastenal's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauge the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing conclusions.

Fastenal Total Value Analysis

Fastenal Company is currently projected to have valuation of 48.21 B with market capitalization of 48.18 B, debt of 535 M, and cash on hands of 231.5 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Fastenal fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
48.21 B
48.18 B
535 M
231.5 M

Fastenal Investor Information

About 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 25th of October 2024. Fastenal had 2:1 split on the 23rd of May 2019. Based on the analysis of Fastenal's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Fastenal Company may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.140.2081
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Total Cash From Operating Activities1.5 B1.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income1.6 B1.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Fastenal Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Fastenal has an asset utilization ratio of 164.62 percent. This implies that the Company is making $1.65 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Fastenal Company is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Black Monday
 
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Covid

Fastenal Ownership Allocation

Fastenal holds a total of 572.89 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Fastenal Company outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to obtain positions in Fastenal to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Fastenal. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Fastenal Company as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. On November 11, 2024, Representative Ro Khanna of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of Fastenal's common stock.

Fastenal Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.35 B. Net Income was 1.16 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.22 B.

Fastenal Past Distributions to stockholders

About Fastenal Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Fastenal's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Fastenal based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Fastenal. We calculate exposure to Fastenal's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Fastenal's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit3.2 B3.3 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.21  0.14 
Operating Profit Margin 0.21  0.14 
Net Profit Margin 0.16  0.10 
Gross Profit Margin 0.46  0.57 

Fastenal Quarterly Retained Earnings

3.58 Billion

Fastenal's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Fastenal's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Fastenal can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Fastenal represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Fastenal, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Fastenal Dividends Analysis For Valuation

Dividends Paid is likely to gain to about 1.1 B in 2024. Dividend Yield is likely to gain to 0.03 in 2024. At this time, Fastenal's Retained Earnings are comparatively stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings Ratio is likely to gain to 36.38 in 2024, whereas Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to drop slightly above 2.1 B in 2024.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends PaidB1.1 B
Dividend Yield 0.03  0.03 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.88  0.92 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.20  1.24 
There are various types of dividends Fastenal can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Fastenal shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Fastenal Company directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Fastenal pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Fastenal by the value of the dividends paid out.

Fastenal Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Fastenal does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding573 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.005
Forward Price Earnings38.0228

Fastenal Current Valuation Indicators

Fastenal's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Fastenal's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Fastenal, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Fastenal's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Fastenal's worth.

Additional Tools for Fastenal Stock Analysis

When running Fastenal's price analysis, check to measure Fastenal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fastenal is operating at the current time. Most of Fastenal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fastenal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fastenal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fastenal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.