Covenant Logistics Valuation

CVLG Stock  USD 23.11  0.56  2.48%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Covenant Logistics Group, shows a prevailing Real Value of $18.72 per share. The current price of the firm is $23.11. Our model approximates the value of Covenant Logistics Group, from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 859.98 M, profit margin of 0.03 %, and Return On Equity of 0.0839 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Covenant Logistics' valuation include:
Price Book
1.3659
Enterprise Value
860 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
5.8902
Price Sales
0.5423
Forward PE
9.4967
Overvalued
Today
23.11
Please note that Covenant Logistics' price fluctuation is somewhat reliable at this time. Calculation of the real value of Covenant Logistics Group, is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Covenant Logistics' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Covenant stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Covenant Logistics Group,. Since Covenant Logistics is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Covenant Stock. However, Covenant Logistics' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  23.11 Real  18.72 Target  35.0 Hype  23.11
The real value of Covenant Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Covenant Logistics Group, Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Covenant Logistics' financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Covenant Logistics' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
18.72
Real Value
25.43
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Covenant Logistics Group, helps investors to forecast how Covenant stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Covenant Logistics more accurately as focusing exclusively on Covenant Logistics' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.530.560.59
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.4023.1129.82
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
31.8535.0038.85
Details
When choosing an evaluation method for Covenant Logistics Group,, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Covenant Logistics Cash

37.4 Million

Covenant Valuation Trend

Comparing Covenant Logistics' enterprise value against its market capitalization is a good way to estimate the value of Covenant Logistics Group, uage its performance over time. This information may sometimes be enough for investors to make reasonable market timing decisions.

Covenant Revenue by Product

Covenant Logistics Total Value Analysis

Covenant Logistics Group, is currently expected to have valuation of 859.98 M with market capitalization of 613.58 M, debt of 296.89 M, and cash on hands of 4.46 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Covenant Logistics fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
859.98 M
613.58 M
296.89 M
4.46 M

Covenant Logistics Investor Information

About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.37. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Covenant Logistics Group, has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.24. The entity last dividend was issued on the 7th of March 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 2nd of January 2025. Based on the key indicators related to Covenant Logistics' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Covenant Logistics Group, may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average risk of going through some form of financial distress next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities67.4 M122.9 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile

Covenant Logistics Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Covenant Logistics has an asset utilization ratio of 113.42 percent. This implies that the Company is making $1.13 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Covenant Logistics Group, is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Covid

Covenant Logistics Ownership Allocation

Covenant Logistics holds a total of 21.85 Million outstanding shares. Over half of Covenant Logistics' outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These other corporate entities are typically referred to as corporate investors that acquire positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Covenant Logistics Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.13 B. Net Income was 35.92 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 270.77 M.

Covenant Logistics Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Covenant Logistics' worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Covenant Logistics and how it compares across the competition.

About Covenant Logistics Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Covenant Logistics' current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Covenant Logistics. We calculate exposure to Covenant Logistics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Covenant Logistics's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit189.6 M179.6 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.04  0.04 
Operating Profit Margin 0.04  0.04 
Net Profit Margin 0.03  0.02 
Gross Profit Margin 0.17  0.16 

Covenant Logistics Quarterly Retained Earnings

278.13 Million

Covenant Logistics' stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Covenant Logistics' value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Covenant Logistics can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Covenant Logistics represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Covenant, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Covenant Logistics Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, Covenant Logistics' Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio is most likely to increase in the upcoming years. . The Covenant Logistics' current Retained Earnings is estimated to increase to about 292 M, while Retained Earnings Total Equity is projected to decrease to roughly 215.3 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid5.8 M5.5 M
Dividend Yield 0.01  0.01 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.16  0.17 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 21.20  22.26 
There are various types of dividends Covenant Logistics can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Covenant shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Covenant Logistics Group, directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Covenant pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Covenant Logistics by the value of the dividends paid out.

Covenant Logistics Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Covenant Logistics does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding27.7 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.449
Forward Price Earnings9.4967

Covenant Logistics Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Covenant Logistics Group, and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Covenant we look at many different elements of the entity such as Covenant's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Covenant Logistics, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Covenant Logistics' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Covenant Logistics' worth.

Complementary Tools for Covenant Stock analysis

When running Covenant Logistics' price analysis, check to measure Covenant Logistics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Covenant Logistics is operating at the current time. Most of Covenant Logistics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Covenant Logistics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Covenant Logistics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Covenant Logistics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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