Covenant Logistics Valuation

CV5 Stock  EUR 53.00  0.00  0.00%   
At this time, the firm appears to be fairly valued. Covenant Logistics shows a prevailing Real Value of €52.0 per share. The current price of the firm is €53.0. Our model approximates the value of Covenant Logistics from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.3, profit margin of 0.09 %, and Current Valuation of 558.97 M as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Fairly Valued
Today
53.00
Please note that Covenant Logistics' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Covenant Logistics is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Covenant Logistics' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Covenant stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Covenant Logistics Group. Since Covenant Logistics is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Covenant Stock. However, Covenant Logistics' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  53.0 Real  52.0 Hype  53.0 Naive  53.69
The real value of Covenant Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Covenant Logistics Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Covenant Logistics' financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Covenant Logistics' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
52.00
Real Value
54.01
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Covenant Logistics Group helps investors to forecast how Covenant stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Covenant Logistics more accurately as focusing exclusively on Covenant Logistics' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
51.8654.2356.59
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
50.9953.0055.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
51.6853.6955.70
Details

Covenant Logistics Total Value Analysis

Covenant Logistics Group is currently estimated to have takeover price of 558.97 M with market capitalization of 435.41 M, debt of 20.35 M, and cash on hands of 4.97 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Covenant Logistics fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
558.97 M
435.41 M
20.35 M
4.97 M

Covenant Logistics Investor Information

About 31.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.32. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Covenant Logistics has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 147.37. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.56. The firm last dividend was issued on the 2nd of March 2023. Covenant Logistics had 1:2 split on the 1st of October 2024. Based on the key indicators related to Covenant Logistics' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Covenant Logistics Group is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in January.

Covenant Logistics Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Covenant Logistics has an asset utilization ratio of 186.73 percent. This implies that the Company is making €1.87 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Covenant Logistics Group is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Covenant Logistics Ownership Allocation

The market capitalization of Covenant Logistics is €435.41 Million. Over half of Covenant Logistics' outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These other corporate entities are typically referred to as corporate investors that acquire positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. Consequently, these institutions are subject to different rules and regulations than regular investors in Covenant Logistics. Please watch out for any change in the institutional holdings of Covenant Logistics as this could mean something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please take into account that even companies with profitable outlook can generate negative future returns on their equity. If the true value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able generate positive returns on investment in the long run.

Covenant Logistics Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 1.22 B. Net Income was 108.68 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 238.11 M.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Covenant Logistics' worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Covenant Logistics and how it compares across the competition.

About Covenant Logistics Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Covenant Logistics' current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Covenant Logistics. We calculate exposure to Covenant Logistics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Covenant Logistics's related companies.
Covenant Logistics Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides transportation and logistics services in the United States. Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. was founded in 1986 and is based in Chattanooga, Tennessee. COVENANT LOG operates under Trucking classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 4900 people.

8 Steps to conduct Covenant Logistics' Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Covenant Logistics' potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Covenant Logistics' valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Covenant Logistics' financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Covenant Logistics' revenue streams: Identify Covenant Logistics' primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Covenant Logistics' industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Covenant Logistics' growth potential: Evaluate Covenant Logistics' management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Covenant Logistics' financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Covenant Logistics' estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Complementary Tools for Covenant Stock analysis

When running Covenant Logistics' price analysis, check to measure Covenant Logistics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Covenant Logistics is operating at the current time. Most of Covenant Logistics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Covenant Logistics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Covenant Logistics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Covenant Logistics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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