Cogna Educao Valuation

COGN3 Stock  BRL 1.88  0.01  0.53%   
Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the firm appears to be overvalued. Cogna Educao SA shows a prevailing Real Value of R$1.41 per share. The current price of the firm is R$1.88. Our model approximates the value of Cogna Educao SA from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of -0.0338, current valuation of 9.98 B, and Profit Margin of (0.05) % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
1.88
Please note that Cogna Educao's price fluctuation is very risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of Cogna Educao SA is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Cogna Educao's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Cogna stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Cogna Educao SA. Since Cogna Educao is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Cogna Stock. However, Cogna Educao's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  1.88 Real  1.41 Hype  1.88 Naive  2.07
The intrinsic value of Cogna Educao's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Cogna Educao's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
1.41
Real Value
4.41
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Cogna Educao SA helps investors to forecast how Cogna stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Cogna Educao more accurately as focusing exclusively on Cogna Educao's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.451.681.92
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.884.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.042.075.08
Details

Cogna Educao Total Value Analysis

Cogna Educao SA is currently projected to have takeover price of 9.98 B with market capitalization of 4.03 B, debt of 7.64 B, and cash on hands of 1.57 B. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Cogna Educao fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
9.98 B
4.03 B
7.64 B
1.57 B

Cogna Educao Investor Information

About 53.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.32. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Cogna Educao SA recorded a loss per share of 0.22. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2019. The firm had 4:1 split on the 12th of September 2014. Based on the analysis of Cogna Educao's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Cogna Educao SA is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in April.

Cogna Educao Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The newest return on assets of Cogna implies not a very effective usage of assets in March.

Cogna Educao Ownership Allocation

Cogna Educao holds a total of 1.87 Billion outstanding shares. Over half of Cogna Educao's outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These other corporate entities are typically referred to as corporate investors that acquire positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. Consequently, these institutions are subject to different rules and regulations than regular investors in Cogna Educao. Please watch out for any change in the institutional holdings of Cogna Educao SA as this could mean something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Cogna Educao Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 4.78 B. Net Loss for the year was (489.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.87 B.

About Cogna Educao Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Cogna Educao's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Cogna Educao SA based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Cogna Educao. We calculate exposure to Cogna Educao's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Cogna Educao's related companies.
Cogna Educao S.A. operates as a private educational organization in Brazil and internationally. Cogna Educao S.A. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Belo Horizonte, Brazil. COGNA ON is traded on Sao Paolo Stock Exchange in Brazil.

8 Steps to conduct Cogna Educao's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Cogna Educao's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Cogna Educao's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Cogna Educao's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Cogna Educao's revenue streams: Identify Cogna Educao's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Cogna Educao's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Cogna Educao's growth potential: Evaluate Cogna Educao's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Cogna Educao's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Cogna Educao's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Additional Tools for Cogna Stock Analysis

When running Cogna Educao's price analysis, check to measure Cogna Educao's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cogna Educao is operating at the current time. Most of Cogna Educao's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cogna Educao's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cogna Educao's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cogna Educao to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.