Chipotle Mexican Valuation

CMG Stock  USD 48.53  0.47  0.96%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Chipotle Mexican Grill shows a prevailing Real Value of $50.66 per share. The current price of the firm is $48.53. Our model approximates the value of Chipotle Mexican Grill from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 68.89 B, profit margin of 0.14 %, and Return On Equity of 0.46 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Chipotle Mexican's valuation include:
Price Book
17.9931
Enterprise Value
68.9 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
29.6922
Price Sales
5.8136
Forward PE
37.8788
Undervalued
Today
48.53
Please note that Chipotle Mexican's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Chipotle Mexican Grill is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Chipotle Mexican's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Chipotle stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Chipotle Mexican Grill. Since Chipotle Mexican is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Chipotle Stock. However, Chipotle Mexican's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  48.53 Real  50.66 Target  65.9 Hype  48.4 Naive  48.63
The real value of Chipotle Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Chipotle Mexican Grill Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Chipotle Mexican's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Chipotle Mexican's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
50.66
Real Value
52.41
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Chipotle Mexican Grill helps investors to forecast how Chipotle stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Chipotle Mexican more accurately as focusing exclusively on Chipotle Mexican's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.260.290.30
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
46.6548.4050.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
46.8848.6350.37
Details
35 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
59.9765.9073.15
Details
When choosing an evaluation method for Chipotle Mexican Grill, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Chipotle Mexican Cash

785.96 Million

Chipotle Valuation Trend

Comparing Chipotle Mexican's enterprise value against its market capitalization is a good way to estimate the value of Chipotle Mexican Grill uage its performance over time. This information may sometimes be enough for investors to make reasonable market timing decisions.

Chipotle Mexican Total Value Analysis

Chipotle Mexican Grill is currently expected to have company total value of 68.89 B with market capitalization of 65.77 B, debt of 4.54 B, and cash on hands of 384 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Chipotle Mexican fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
68.89 B
65.77 B
4.54 B
384 M

Chipotle Mexican Investor Information

About 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.96. Chipotle Mexican Grill had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 50:1 split on the 26th of June 2024. Based on the analysis of Chipotle Mexican's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Chipotle Mexican Grill is performing exceptionally good at the present time. It has a great chance to report excellent financial results in April.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities2.2 B2.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Chipotle Mexican Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Chipotle Mexican has an asset utilization ratio of 122.92 percent. This implies that the Company is making $1.23 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Chipotle Mexican Grill is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Chipotle Mexican Ownership Allocation

Chipotle Mexican holds a total of 1.36 Billion outstanding shares. The majority of Chipotle Mexican Grill outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Chipotle Mexican Grill to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Chipotle Mexican. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Chipotle Mexican Grill as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that on March 7, 2025, Representative Gil Cisneros of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of Chipotle Mexican Grill's common stock.

Chipotle Mexican Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 11.31 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.53 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.59 B.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Chipotle Mexican's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Chipotle Mexican and how it compares across the competition.

About Chipotle Mexican Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Chipotle Mexican's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Chipotle Mexican. We calculate exposure to Chipotle Mexican's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Chipotle Mexican's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross ProfitB3.2 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.18  0.19 
Operating Profit Margin 0.17  0.18 
Net Profit Margin 0.14  0.14 
Gross Profit Margin 0.27  0.26 

Chipotle Mexican Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Chipotle Mexican does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.4 B
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.166
Forward Price Earnings37.8788

Chipotle Mexican Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Chipotle Mexican Grill and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Chipotle we look at many different elements of the entity such as Chipotle's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Chipotle Mexican, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Chipotle Mexican's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Chipotle Mexican's worth.

Complementary Tools for Chipotle Stock analysis

When running Chipotle Mexican's price analysis, check to measure Chipotle Mexican's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chipotle Mexican is operating at the current time. Most of Chipotle Mexican's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chipotle Mexican's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chipotle Mexican's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chipotle Mexican to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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