CME Valuation

CME Stock  USD 263.58  4.90  1.89%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. CME Group shows a prevailing Real Value of $244.43 per share. The current price of the firm is $263.58. Our model approximates the value of CME Group from examining the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.13, current valuation of 93.36 B, and Profit Margin of 0.58 % as well as evaluating its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting CME's valuation include:
Price Book
3.5088
Enterprise Value
93.4 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
18.5268
Price Sales
15.1849
Forward PE
24.2718
Overvalued
Today
263.58
Please note that CME's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of CME Group is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing CME's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the CME stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of CME Group. Since CME is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of CME Stock. However, CME's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  263.58 Real  244.43 Target  242.44 Hype  260.17 Naive  263.62
The real value of CME Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of CME Group Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on CME's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of CME's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
243.34
Downside
244.43
Real Value
284.55
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of CME Group helps investors to forecast how CME stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of CME more accurately as focusing exclusively on CME's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
2.532.622.83
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
232.81260.17261.26
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
7.567.828.07
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
220.62242.44269.11
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use CME's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of CME's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against CME's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for CME we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

CME Cash

3.04 Billion

CME Valuation Trend

Comparing CME's enterprise value against its market capitalization is a good way to estimate the value of CME Group uage its performance over time. This information may sometimes be enough for investors to make reasonable market timing decisions.

CME Revenue by Product

CME Total Value Analysis

CME Group is currently expected to have company total value of 93.36 B with market capitalization of 92.94 B, debt of 3.43 B, and cash on hands of 2.22 B. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the CME fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
93.36 B
92.94 B
3.43 B
2.22 B

CME Investor Information

About 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of CME was currently reported as 73.66. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.67. CME Group last dividend was issued on the 7th of March 2025. The entity had 5:1 split on the 23rd of July 2012. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from CME's historical financial statements, CME Group is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate odds of reporting better financial numbers in April.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities3.9 B3.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

CME Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. CME has an asset utilization ratio of 4.46 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $0.0446 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that CME Group is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Housing Crash
 
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Covid

CME Ownership Allocation

CME holds a total of 359.27 Million outstanding shares. The majority of CME Group outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in CME Group to benefit from reduced commissions. Thereupon, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in CME. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of CME Group as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that on September 6, 2024, Representative John James of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of CME Group's common stock.

CME Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.13 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 3.53 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 6.12 B.

CME Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates CME's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in CME and how it compares across the competition.

About CME Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines CME's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of CME. We calculate exposure to CME's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of CME's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit5.3 B2.7 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.74  0.44 
Operating Profit Margin 0.64  0.43 
Net Profit Margin 0.58  0.32 
Gross Profit Margin 0.86  0.66 

CME Quarterly Retained Earnings

4.19 Billion

CME's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether CME's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of CME can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of CME represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of CME, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

CME Dividends Analysis For Valuation

The current year's Dividends Paid is expected to grow to about 3.8 B, whereas Dividend Yield is forecasted to decline to 0.02. . The current year's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to grow to 2.08, whereas Retained Earnings are forecasted to decline to about 3.1 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid3.6 B3.8 B
Dividend Yield 0.04  0.02 
Dividend Payout Ratio 1.02  0.57 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.03  0.98 
There are various types of dividends CME can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of CME shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from CME Group directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When CME pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of CME by the value of the dividends paid out.

CME Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as CME does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding359.9 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.072
Forward Price Earnings24.2718

CME Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of CME Group and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value CME we look at many different elements of the entity such as CME's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as CME, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use CME's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes CME's worth.

Complementary Tools for CME Stock analysis

When running CME's price analysis, check to measure CME's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CME is operating at the current time. Most of CME's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CME's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CME's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CME to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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