Carnival Valuation

CCL Stock  USD 19.92  0.80  4.18%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Carnival shows a prevailing Real Value of $18.36 per share. The current price of the firm is $19.92. Our model approximates the value of Carnival from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 54.6 B, return on equity of 0.24, and Profit Margin of 0.08 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Carnival's valuation include:
Price Book
2.9107
Enterprise Value
54.6 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
8.7676
Price Sales
1.0763
Forward PE
10.8814
Overvalued
Today
19.92
Please note that Carnival's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Carnival is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Carnival's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Carnival stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Carnival. Since Carnival is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Carnival Stock. However, Carnival's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  19.92 Real  18.36 Target  29.7 Hype  19.92 Naive  20.11
The intrinsic value of Carnival's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Carnival's stock price.
18.36
Real Value
21.16
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Carnival helps investors to forecast how Carnival stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Carnival more accurately as focusing exclusively on Carnival's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
-0.00010.020.04
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.1219.9222.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
17.3020.1122.91
Details
29 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
27.0329.7032.97
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Carnival's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Carnival's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Carnival's closest peers.

Carnival Cash

1.21 Billion

Carnival Valuation Trend

Knowing Carnival's actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both Carnival's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Carnival Revenue by Product

Carnival Total Value Analysis

Carnival is currently forecasted to have company total value of 54.6 B with market capitalization of 26.93 B, debt of 28.88 B, and cash on hands of 4.03 B. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Carnival fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
54.6 B
26.93 B
28.88 B
4.03 B

Carnival Investor Information

About 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Carnival was currently reported as 7.07. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.41. Carnival last dividend was issued on the 20th of February 2020. The entity had 2:1 split on the 15th of June 1998. Carnival is performing exceptionally good at this time. It has a great probability to report excellent financial results in April.

Carnival Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Carnival has an asset utilization ratio of 51.82 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.52 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Carnival is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Carnival Ownership Allocation

Carnival holds a total of 1.16 Billion outstanding shares. Over half of Carnival's outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These other corporate entities are typically referred to as corporate investors that acquire positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. Please note that on February 21, 2025, Senator Ashley Moody of US Senate acquired under $15k worth of Carnival's common stock.

Carnival Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 25.02 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.92 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 13.39 B.

About Carnival Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Carnival. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Carnival based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Carnival's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Carnival's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Carnival. We calculate exposure to Carnival's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Carnival's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit18.2 B19.2 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.09  0.09 
Operating Profit Margin 0.16  0.17 
Net Profit Margin 0.09  0.09 
Gross Profit Margin 0.73  0.37 

Carnival Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Carnival does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.4 B
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.599
Forward Price Earnings10.8814

Carnival Current Valuation Indicators

Carnival's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Carnival's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Carnival, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Carnival's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Carnival's worth.
When determining whether Carnival is a strong investment it is important to analyze Carnival's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Carnival's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Carnival Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Carnival. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
For more information on how to buy Carnival Stock please use our How to buy in Carnival Stock guide.
You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Is Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Carnival. If investors know Carnival will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Carnival listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.599
Earnings Share
1.44
Revenue Per Share
19.64
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.1
Return On Assets
0.0448
The market value of Carnival is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Carnival that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Carnival's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Carnival's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Carnival's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Carnival's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Carnival's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Carnival is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Carnival's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.