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Are Upexi (USA Stocks:UPXI) traders starting to hold back?

October 30, 2024  By
In the stock market, momentum can be a powerful ally. Upexi Inc. has recently seen a significant upswing, climbing over 27%, which has piqued the interest of investors. Despite this surge, it's crucial to weigh the company's fundamentals before jumping on the bandwagon. Upexi operates in the Internet Content & Information sector, with a current market valuation of $8.55 million. However, its financials tell a more cautious story, with an EPS estimate for the current year showing a loss of 9.8 and next year's forecast not looking much brighter at a loss of 6.8. The stock's 52-week high of $33 suggests potential, but with a Wall Street target price of $25, there's a need for careful consideration. The analyst consensus currently stands at 'Hold,' indicating that while there is room for growth, it may be prudent to watch for further developments before making a move. Upexi Inc's cash per share has been on the rise compared to past years, which is a positive sign for investors. Currently, the company's price-to-cash-flow ratio is expected to climb to 1,469, while the price-to-sales ratio is anticipated to drop to 10.89. This report aims to provide traders with our insights on Upexi for November, offering a forecast to help guide investment decisions.
Published over three weeks ago
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Reviewed by Ellen Johnson

Upexi Inc has a beta of -3.6845, indicating its returns move inversely to the market. When the market rises, Upexi's gains are expected to be smaller, and during downturns, its losses should also be less severe. Beta helps investors gauge how a stock's price swings in relation to the market. A negative beta suggests Upexi moves in the opposite direction of market trends, offering potential risk reduction in a diversified portfolio. However, this also means it might not significantly boost returns when the market is performing well.

Key Arguments

With Upexi Inc. (NASDAQ: UPXI) experiencing a significant surge of over 27%, investors might consider buying, especially given its relatively low beta of 0.448, which suggests less volatility compared to the broader market. However, potential buyers should be cautious of the company's recent discontinued operations loss of 2.1M, which could impact future profitability.
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Upexi Inc. Regardless of method or technology, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Predictive Modules for Upexi

Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Upexi's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

How important is Upexi's Liquidity

Upexi financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Upexi Inc ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Upexi financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Upexi's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Upexi's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Upexi's total debt and its cash.

How does Upexi utilize its cash?

As of now, Upexi's Net Borrowings is decreasing as compared to previous years. . To perform a cash flow analysis of Upexi, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Upexi is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Upexi cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.

Upexi Gross Profit

Upexi Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Upexi previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Upexi Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Upexi's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Details

Upexi Inc is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Upexi's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Upexi's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet.
This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Returns Breakdown

Return On Tangible Assets(0.4)
Return On Capital Employed(0.16)
Return On Assets(0.25)
Return On Equity(0.56)
Buy low, sell high is a mantra many investors live by, and Upexi Inc.'s recent surge of over 27% has certainly caught the eye of those looking for growth opportunities. With a 52-week high of 33, the stock's current momentum suggests potential for further gains, especially given its relatively low market capitalization of 7.01 million. However, investors should be cautious, as the company faces challenges, including a significant probability of bankruptcy at 66.90% and a current EPS estimate for the year showing losses of 9.8. While the short-term outlook appears promising, it's crucial to weigh these risks against the potential rewards..

Over 3 percent surge for Upexi. What does it mean for traders?

Upexi Inc's stock has recently climbed over 3%, a move that might intrigue traders, especially with its downside deviation surpassing 9.1. This uptick could signal a shift in market sentiment, suggesting that investors might be spotting value or opportunities despite the stock's recent volatility. For traders, this presents a chance to leverage short-term momentum or rethink strategies based on the stock's evolving risk profile. It's essential to consider these changes alongside broader market conditions and personal risk tolerance. Upexi Inc is experiencing significant return volatility. Understanding these trends can help investors time their market moves.
By using volatility indicators, traders can assess Upexi's stock risk relative to market fluctuations in both rising and falling markets. High volatility in bear markets can affect Upexi's stock price, prompting investors to adjust their portfolios as prices drop.Upexi Inc's recent surge of over 27% certainly piques interest, but investors should approach with cautious optimism. The current market valuation of $8.55 suggests a potential mismatch with its real value, pegged at $4.96, indicating a need for careful evaluation. While analysts' consensus leans towards holding, with an estimated target price of $4, the potential upside price of $33.13 presents a tantalizing prospect for risk-tolerant investors. It's crucial to weigh these figures alongside broader market trends and the company's strategic developments before making a decision. Ultimately, Upexi's future growth will depend on its ability to align its market valuation with intrinsic business performance, providing a more stable foundation for sustained appreciation..

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Editorial Staff

Vlad Skutelnik is a Macroaxis Contributor. Vlad covers stocks, funds, cryptocurrencies, and ETFs that are traded in North America, focusing primarily on fundamentals, valuation and market volatility. He has many years of experience in fintech, predictive investment analytics, and risk management. View Profile
This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Vlad Skutelnik do not own shares of Upexi Inc. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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