Macroaxis Stories

Should you continue to rely on Resolute Forest (NYSE:RFP) management?

April 17, 2021  By
Resolute Forest Invested Capital Average is very stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Resolute Forest reported last year Invested Capital Average of 5.02 Billion. As of 17th of April 2021, Market Capitalization is likely to grow to about 1.2 B, while Free Cash Flow is likely to drop (55.5 M). The rationale for this perspective is to forecast a future value of Resolute Forest using technical analysis. What exactly are Resolute Forest insiders should expect in May?
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Rifka Kats

Over 85.0% of Resolute Forest shares are owned by institutional investors. Institutional ownership of Resolute Forest Products refers to the amount of Resolute Forest Products equity owned by mutual funds, pension funds, insurance companies, investment firms, foundations, or other large entities that manage money on behalf of others. Check out our latest analysis of Resolute, including its current ownership diagnostics.
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Resolute Forest Products. Regardless of method or technology, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Predictive Modules for Resolute Forest

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Resolute Forest. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Resolute Forest's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Resolute Forest's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Resolute Forest Products.

How important is Resolute Forest's Liquidity

Resolute Forest financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Resolute Forest Products ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Resolute Forest financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Resolute Forest's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Resolute Forest's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Resolute Forest's total debt and its cash.

How is Resolute allocating its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Resolute Forest, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Resolute Forest is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Resolute Forest cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.

What is driving Resolute Forest Investor Appetite?

The recent price roll up of Resolute Forest Products created some momentum for insiders as it was traded today as low as 12.5 and as high as 12.98 per share. The company management teams may have good odds in positioning the company resources to exploit market volatility in May. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days investing horizon is currently 4.3. This high volatility is attributed to the latest market swings and not so good earnings reports for some of the Resolute Forest partners.

Returns Breakdown

Return on Investment5.71
Return on Assets0.28
Return on Equity0.89
Return Capital(0.0462)
Return on Sales(0.0554)

Are Resolute Forest technical ratios showing a throwback?

Jensen alpha is down to 0.91. It may hint at a possible volatility decline. Resolute Forest Products shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Resolute Forest Products further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of Resolute Forest future alpha. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Resolute Forest's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Resolute Forest's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Our Conclusion on Resolute Forest

Although some other entities within the paper & paper products industry are still a little expensive, even after the recent corrections, Resolute Forest may offer a potential longer-term growth to insiders. With a somewhat neutral outlook on your 30 days horizon, it may be better to hold off any trading activity and neither pick up new shares of Resolute nor drop your existing holdings in the Stock. It seems the expected volatility has not yet been fully factored into the current price. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Resolute Forest.

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Editorial Staff

Raphi Shpitalnik is a Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board. Raphael is a young entrepreneur who joined Macroaxis on a part-time basis at the beginning of the pandemic and eventually acquired a real taste for investing and fintech. He likes to analyze different equity instruments across a wide range of industries, focusing primarily on consumer products, sports, fintech, cannabis, and AI. View Profile
This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Resolute Forest Products. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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