Obsidian Energy Stock Analysis

OBE Stock  USD 5.69  0.14  2.40%   
Obsidian Energy is undervalued with Real Value of 6.68 and Target Price of 9.71. The main objective of Obsidian Energy stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Obsidian Energy is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Obsidian Energy's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Obsidian Energy stock is traded in the USA on NYSE MKT Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Obsidian Energy's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Obsidian Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
For information on how to trade Obsidian Stock refer to our How to Trade Obsidian Stock guide.

Obsidian Stock Analysis Notes

About 25.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.42. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Obsidian Energy has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.53. The entity recorded a loss per share of 1.87. The firm last dividend was issued on the 28th of September 2015. Obsidian Energy had 1:7 split on the 10th of June 2019. Obsidian Energy Ltd. primarily focuses on the exploration, production, and development of oil and natural gas properties in the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin. The company was formerly known as Penn West Petroleum Ltd. and changed its name to Obsidian Energy Ltd. in June 2017. Obsidian Energy operates under Oil Gas EP classification in the United States and is traded on AMEX Exchange. It employs 173 people. To find out more about Obsidian Energy contact Stephen Loukas at 403 777 2500 or learn more at https://www.obsidianenergy.com.

Obsidian Energy Quarterly Total Revenue

217.7 Million

Obsidian Energy Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Obsidian Energy's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Obsidian Energy or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Obsidian Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Obsidian Energy has 342.5 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.38, which is OK given its current industry classification. Obsidian Energy has a current ratio of 0.26, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Obsidian to invest in growth at high rates of return.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 837.7 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (202.6 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 458.1 M.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Obsidian Energy Announces 320.5 Million Asset Sale to InPlay Oil - TipRanks

Obsidian Energy Upcoming and Recent Events

22nd of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View

Obsidian Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Obsidian Energy's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2017-05-04
2017-03-31-0.1-0.070.0330 
1998-11-19
1998-09-300.420.470.0511 
1998-08-19
1998-06-300.360.420.0616 
View All Earnings Estimates

Obsidian Energy Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Obsidian Energy's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Obsidian Energy's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Obsidian Energy's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Obsidian Energy's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Obsidian Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 430.1 M.

Obsidian Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of (0.28) %, which means that it does not effectively control expenditures or properly executes on its pricing strategies. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of (1.92) %, which entails that for every $100 of revenue, it lost $1.92.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.10)(0.10)
Return On Capital Employed 0.21  0.22 
Return On Assets(0.10)(0.10)
Return On Equity(0.14)(0.15)

Management Efficiency

Obsidian Energy has Return on Asset of (0.0643) % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it lost $0.0643. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of (0.1329) %, meaning that it generated no profit with money invested by stockholders. Obsidian Energy's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Obsidian Energy manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to 0.22, whereas Return On Tangible Assets are forecasted to decline to (0.10). At present, Obsidian Energy's Non Currrent Assets Other are projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Assets is expected to grow to about 232.8 M, whereas Non Current Assets Total are forecasted to decline to about 1.5 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 17.78  16.90 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 17.78  16.90 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 2.32  4.10 
Price Book Value Ratio 0.47  0.92 
Enterprise Value Multiple 2.32  4.10 
Price Fair Value 0.47  0.92 
Enterprise Value1.2 B1.1 B
Obsidian Energy's management has consistently demonstrated strong leadership, driving both financial growth and operational excellence. By analyzing current market trends and future growth opportunities, we assess the stock's true value and potential for investors.
Operating Margin
(1.92)
Profit Margin
(0.28)
Beta
2.193
Return On Assets
(0.06)
Return On Equity
(0.13)

Technical Drivers

As of the 22nd of March, Obsidian Energy holds the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0503, coefficient of variation of 2068.32, and Semi Deviation of 3.07. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Obsidian Energy, as well as the relationship between them. Please check Obsidian Energy maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and skewness to decide if Obsidian Energy is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 5.69 per share. Given that Obsidian Energy has jensen alpha of 0.1762, we recommend you to check out Obsidian Energy's recent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Obsidian Energy Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was four with a total number of output elements of fifty-seven. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Obsidian Energy middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Obsidian Energy. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Obsidian Energy Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Obsidian Energy insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Obsidian Energy's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Obsidian Energy insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Obsidian Energy Outstanding Bonds

Obsidian Energy issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Obsidian Energy uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Obsidian bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Obsidian Energy has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Obsidian Energy Predictive Daily Indicators

Obsidian Energy intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Obsidian Energy stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Obsidian Energy Corporate Filings

6K
14th of March 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
4th of March 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
28th of February 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
27th of February 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
26th of February 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
25th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
6K
21st of February 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
20th of February 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify

Obsidian Energy Forecast Models

Obsidian Energy's time-series forecasting models are one of many Obsidian Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Obsidian Energy's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Obsidian Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Obsidian Energy prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Obsidian shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Obsidian Energy. By using and applying Obsidian Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Obsidian entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.32)(0.33)
Operating Profit Margin 0.66  0.69 
Net Loss(0.24)(0.25)
Gross Profit Margin 0.07  0.08 

Current Obsidian Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Obsidian analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Obsidian analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
9.71Buy4Odds
Obsidian Energy current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Obsidian analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Obsidian stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Obsidian Energy, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Obsidian conference calls.
Obsidian Analyst Advice Details

Obsidian Stock Analysis Indicators

Obsidian Energy stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Obsidian Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Obsidian Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Obsidian Energy stock analysis, traders can identify Obsidian Energy position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow500 K
Long Term Debt332.4 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding79 M
Total Stockholder Equity1.4 B
Tax Provision-62.5 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.4
Property Plant And Equipment Net1.3 B
Net Debt342.5 M
50 Day M A5.4398
Total Current Liabilities275.3 M
Other Operating Expenses837.7 M
Non Current Assets Total1.6 B
Forward Price Earnings5.0813
Stock Based Compensation8.2 M

Complementary Tools for Obsidian Stock analysis

When running Obsidian Energy's price analysis, check to measure Obsidian Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Obsidian Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Obsidian Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Obsidian Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Obsidian Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Obsidian Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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