National Retail Properties Stock Analysis

NNN Stock  USD 41.36  0.16  0.39%   
National Retail Properties is fairly valued with Real Value of 39.94 and Target Price of 45.58. The main objective of National Retail stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what National Retail Properties is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of National Retail's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The National Retail stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. National Retail is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, National Mourning Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. National Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in National Retail Properties. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

National Stock Analysis Notes

About 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.78. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. National Retail Prop last dividend was issued on the 31st of January 2025. National Retail Properties invests primarily in high-quality retail properties subject generally to long-term, net leases. As of September 30, 2020, the company owned 3,114 properties in 48 states with a gross leasable area of approximately 32.4 million square feet and with a weighted average remaining lease term of 10.7 years. National Retail operates under REITRetail classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 72 people. To find out more about National Retail Properties contact Kella Schaible at 407 265 7348 or learn more at https://www.nnnreit.com.

National Retail Quarterly Total Revenue

218.48 Million

National Retail Prop Investment Alerts

National Retail Prop is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
National Retail Properties has 4.37 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.95, which is OK given its current industry classification. National Retail Prop has a current ratio of 0.65, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for National to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 93.0% of National Retail shares are owned by institutional investors
On 14th of February 2025 National Retail paid $ 0.58 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: SP 500 Sell-Off How Reliable Dividend Stocks Like Realty Income Can Offer Peace of Mind

National Retail Prop Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by National Retail to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period..
8th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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7th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
8th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
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30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
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National Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact National Retail's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2014-11-04
2014-09-300.280.310.0310 
2014-08-05
2014-06-300.270.30.0311 
2013-05-02
2013-03-310.280.25-0.0310 
View All Earnings Estimates

National Retail Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

National Retail's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates National Retail's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of National Retail's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect National Retail's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

National Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Federated Hermes Inc2024-12-31
2.7 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
2.6 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-12-31
2.5 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
2.3 M
Norges Bank2024-12-31
2.3 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-12-31
2.1 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
M
Mondrian Investment Partners Ltd2024-12-31
1.8 M
Prudential Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
1.6 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
26.4 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
22.6 M
Note, although National Retail's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

National Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 7.81 B.

National Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.46 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.62 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.62 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.04  0.06 
Return On Capital Employed 0.07  0.10 
Return On Assets 0.04  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.09  0.09 

Management Efficiency

National Retail Prop has Return on Asset of 0.0387 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0387 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.0932 %, implying that it generated $0.0932 on every 100 dollars invested. National Retail's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well National Retail manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, National Retail's Return On Tangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 27th of March 2025, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to 0.1, while Return On Equity is likely to drop 0.09. At this time, National Retail's Return On Tangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 27th of March 2025, Return On Assets is likely to grow to 0.06, while Other Assets are likely to drop about 41.4 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 23.75  14.82 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 23.51  14.71 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 14.29  10.30 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.72  1.02 
Enterprise Value Multiple 14.29  10.30 
Price Fair Value 1.72  1.02 
Enterprise Value10.7 B11.2 B
Leadership effectiveness at National Retail Properties is a strong indicator of its financial stability. We analyze various metrics to provide insights into the stock's investment viability.
Dividend Yield
0.0561
Operating Margin
0.6198
Profit Margin
0.4565
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0561
Beta
1.092

Technical Drivers

As of the 27th of March, National Retail secures the Downside Deviation of 1.47, mean deviation of 1.08, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0121. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of National Retail Prop, as well as the relationship between them.

National Retail Prop Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was thirteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. National Retail middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for National Retail Prop. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

National Retail Prop Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific National Retail insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on National Retail's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases National Retail insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

National Retail Outstanding Bonds

National Retail issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. National Retail Prop uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most National bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when National Retail Properties has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

National Retail Predictive Daily Indicators

National Retail intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of National Retail stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

National Retail Corporate Filings

20th of March 2025
Other Reports
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8K
18th of March 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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17th of March 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
19th of February 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
12th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
11th of February 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
4th of February 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F3
13th of January 2025
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify

National Retail Forecast Models

National Retail's time-series forecasting models are one of many National Retail's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary National Retail's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About National Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how National Retail prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling National shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as National Retail. By using and applying National Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying National entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.46  0.55 
Operating Profit Margin 0.66  0.87 
Net Profit Margin 0.46  0.58 
Gross Profit Margin 0.96  0.75 

Current National Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. National analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. National analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
45.58Buy17Odds
National Retail Properties current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most National analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand National stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of National Retail Prop, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to National conference calls.
National Analyst Advice Details

National Stock Analysis Indicators

National Retail Properties stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how National Retail stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading National Retail shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying National Retail stock analysis, traders can identify National Retail position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow5.2 M
Total Stockholder Equity4.4 B
Cash And Short Term Investments8.7 M
Net Invested Capital8.7 B
Cash8.7 M
50 Day M A40.877
Net Interest Income-181 M
Total Current Liabilities29.7 M
Forward Price Earnings20.7039
Investments-424.3 M
Interest Expense184 M
Long Term Debt4.4 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding184 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.024
Free Cash Flow635.5 M
Other Current Assets9.6 M
Net Debt4.4 B
Depreciation249.7 M
Other Operating Expenses291.4 M
Non Current Assets Total8.8 B
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity8.9 B
Home CategoryDomestic Primary
Non Currrent Assets Other8.8 B
When determining whether National Retail Prop offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of National Retail's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of National Retail Properties Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on National Retail Properties Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in National Retail Properties. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Retail REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Retail. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National Retail listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.02)
Dividend Share
2.29
Earnings Share
2.15
Revenue Per Share
4.732
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.01
The market value of National Retail Prop is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National Retail's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National Retail's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National Retail's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National Retail's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National Retail's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if National Retail is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Retail's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.